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Mercury vs Lynx Prediction 6-1-26 WNBA Picks

Mercury vs Lynx
June 1, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Mercury +3.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Lynx and Phoenix Mercury meet Monday in WNBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Mercury vs Lynx Prediction. This article will include a Mercury vs Lynx Pick.

Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview

The Minnesota Lynx look to stay hot after winning 6 of their last 7 games. The Minnesota Lynx have won all 4 of their road games this season.

The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 88.4 points on 49.8 percent shooting and allowing 79.1 points on 38.4 percent shooting. Natasha Howard is averaging 17.3 points and 8.1 rebounds, while Courtney Williams is averaging 16.3 points and 5.3 rebounds. Olivia Miles is the third double-digit scorer, and Kayla McBride is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Lynx are allowing 27 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.6 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview

The Phoenix Mercury need a win after losing 7 of their last 8 games. The Mercury have lost 10 of their last 12 regular-season games.

The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 83.7 points on 42.4 percent shooting and allowing 85.3 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 18.4 points and 2.6 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 16.7 points and 8.1 assists. Jovana Nogic is the third double-digit scorer, and Monique Akoa Makani is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 31.7 percent from beyond the arc and 80.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 38.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32 rebounds per game.

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

  • The Lynx have lost each of their last three games as road favorites following a road win.
  • The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Mercury and Lynx.
  • The Mercury have covered the spread in each of their last four home games against Lynx teams that held a winning record.
  • The Lynx have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Minnesota Lynx will win

  • The Lynx have won each of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Mercury have lost seven of their last eight games.
  • The Lynx have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games.
  • The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Mercury’s last eight home games has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Lynx’s last four games against the Mercury following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

  • DeWanna Bonner ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (100.0%) this season.
  • Alyssa Thomas has recorded 3+ assists in 75 consecutive appearances – the longest active streak of any player in the league.

Minnesota Lynx Player Facts

  • Olivia Miles has recorded 5+ rebounds and 5+ assists in three consecutive appearances – the longest active streak of any player in the league.
  • Courtney Williams has recorded 3+ rebounds and 3+ assists in 21 consecutive appearances – the longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for field goals made per game this season (27.8).
  • The Phoenix Mercury have recorded the longest losing streak in the WNBA this season (5 games).
  • The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for opponent points per game this season (79.1).
  • The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for point differential per game this season (+9.3).

Mercury vs Lynx Injury Report

The Mercury will be without Sami Whitcomb due to a knee injury.

Napheesa Collier is out for the Lynx due to an ankle injury. Dorka Juhasz is out due to a foot injury. Emma Cechova is out with a knee injury.

Mercury vs Lynx Prediction

You’d think the Mercury will turn things around eventually as there’s talent on this roster. This is the core that made the finals last season. With that said, the Mercury have to eventually win and cash tickets before we can keep talking positively about them. You can be better than your record all you’d like, but it means nothing if the losses keep stacking. The Lynx are undefeated on the road and have already beaten the Mercury this season. These are two teams heading in different directions. The line is soft. Give me the Lynx.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Lynx -3.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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