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Mercury vs Mystics Prediction 8-25-26 WNBA Picks

Mercury vs Mystics
August 25, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Mercury +1.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Washington Mystics and Phoenix Mercury meet Tuesday in WNBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Mercury vs Mystics Prediction. This article will include a Mercury vs Mystics Pick.

Washington Mystics Betting Preview

The Washington Mystics look for a win after winning 18 of their last 27 games. The Mystics have lost 3 of their last 5 road games.

The Washington Mystics are averaging 82.6 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 83.1 points on 42.9 percent shooting. Shakira Austin is averaging 17 points and 9.6 rebounds, while Sonia Citron is averaging 16.9 points and 4.2 assists. Kiki Iriafen is the third double-digit scorer, and Michaela Onyenwere is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The Washington Mystics are shooting 30.4 percent from beyond the arc and 73.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Washington Mystics are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.8 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview

The Phoenix Mercury look for a win after losing 6 of their last 8 games. The Mercury have lost 27 of their last 40 regular-season games.

The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 84 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 87.8 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 21 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Kelsey Plum is averaging 17.3 points and 3.3 assists. Alyssa Thomas is the third double-digit scorer, and Jovana Nogic is grabbing 1.1 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 32.6 percent from beyond the arc and 78.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

  • The Mystics have lost six of their last seven games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Mercury have won three of their last four games against the Mystics.
  • The Mystics have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as favorites following a road win.
  • The home team has covered the spread in three of the last four games between the Mercury and Mystics.

Why the Washington Mystics will win

  • The Mercury have lost seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mystics have won each of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs following a home loss.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in six of the Mystics’ last seven games.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of the Mystics’ last nine games as favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Six of the Mercury’s last seven home night games following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

  • Kahleah Copper has made 3+ free throws in nine consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
  • Noemie Brochant ranks 2nd amongst qualified players in the Western Conference for 3P% (40.4%) this season.

Washington Mystics Player Facts

  • Michaela Onyenwere ranks 6th amongst qualified players for 3P% (40.3%) this season.
  • Sonia Citron ranks 8th amongst qualified players for FT% (88.1%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Five different Phoenix Mercury players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
  • The Phoenix Mercury rank 13th for opponent three-point percentage this season (35.9%).
  • The Washington Mystics rank 14th for opponent steals per game this season (8.8).
  • The Washington Mystics rank 14th for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.8).

Mercury vs Mystics Injury Report

Marta Suarez is out for the Mercury due to a concussion. Sami Whitcomb is questionable with a knee injury.

The Mystics don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Mercury vs Mystics Prediction

We know the Mystics aren’t the same team on the road as they are at home, and they’ve had issues as a favorite. However, we’re not being asked to lay much, so points aren’t really an issue. The Mystics are comfortably the better team, and they need to win to improve their playoff seeding. The Mercury have nothing to play for at this stage, and now their injury report is adding names on top of letting DeWanna Bonner walk. This is a team throwing in the towel. The Mystics can’t afford to lose a game like this. I’ll lay the bucket.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Mystics -1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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