Mercury vs Sky
May 15, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Mercury -3.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Chicago Sky and Phoenix Mercury meet Friday in WNBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Mercury vs. Sky Prediction. This article will include a Mercury vs. Sky Pick.
Chicago Sky Betting Preview
The Chicago Sky look for a third road win to improve to 3-0 on the season. The Sky have lost 5 of their last 7 regular season road games.
The Chicago Sky are averaging 83.5 points on 42 percent shooting and allowing 73 points on 34.9 percent shooting. Rickea Jackson is averaging 18.5 points and 6 rebounds, while Skylar Diggins is averaging 18 points and 8 rebounds. Kamilla Cardoso is the third double-digit scorer and Jacy Sheldon is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Chicago Sky are shooting 32.4 percent from beyond the arc and 70.9 percent from the free throw line. The Chicago Sky are allowing 29.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.5 rebounds per game.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview
The Phoenix Mercury look for their first home win to get back to a .500 record. The Mercury have lost 5 of their last 6 regular season games.
The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 87.3 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 83 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 18 points and 0.7 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 16.3 points and 9.3 assists. Jovana Nogic is the third double-digit scorer and DeWanna Bonner is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 41.3 percent from beyond the arc and 76.1 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
- The Sky have lost each of their last 11 games after winning as underdogs.
- The Mercury has won each of their last nine night games against the Sky at Mortgage Matchup Center.
- The Mercury have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as home favorites following a home loss.
- The Sky have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 games after winning as underdogs.
Why the Chicago Sky will win
- The Sky has won eight of their last nine night games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mercury have lost four of their last five games as favorites after losing as favorites.
- The Sky have covered the spread in each of their last nine night games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Mercury’s last nine night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Sky’s last seven games as underdogs following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
- Alyssa Thomas ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (9.3) this season.
- Natasha Mack ranks T1st amongst qualified players for FT% (100.0%) this season.
Chicago Sky Player Facts
- Jacy Sheldon ranks T1st amongst qualified players for FT% (100.0%) this season.
- Skylar Diggins has recorded 2+ assists in 90 consecutive appearances—the longest active streak of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 1st for three-point percentage this season (41.3%).
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 1st for opponent free throws made per game this season (12.3).
- The Chicago Sky rank T14th for steals per game this season (5.5).
- The Chicago Sky rank T1st for blocks per game this season (8.0).
Mercury vs Sky Injury Report
The Mercury will be without Sami Whitcomb due to a knee injury.
The Sky will be without DiJonai Carrington due to a foot injury. Azura Stevens is out with a knee injury. Courtney Vandersloot is also out with a knee injury
Mercury vs Sky Prediction
As I mentioned at the start of the season, I’m high on the Sky, as there are a lot of names on this roster, and when it comes together, they can become a sneaky contender. We’ve seen it in two straight road wins. However, the Sky aren’t healthy yet and at some point all of this traveling will catch up. The Sky start the season with four road games, like they lost a bet. The Mercury are a prideful bunch that’s been through this current start and this feels like a spot at home where they can flex their muscles a bit and right the ship. I’ll be on the Sky a lot this season but with the soft line, I’ll side with the Mercury.
