Mercury vs Sky Prediction 7-7-26 WNBA Picks
Mercury vs Sky
July 7, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Mercury -3.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Chicago Sky and Phoenix Mercury meet Tuesday in WNBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Mercury vs Sky Prediction. This article will include a Mercury vs Sky Pick.
Chicago Sky Betting Preview
The Chicago Sky need a win after losing 14 of their last 17 games. The Sky have lost 6 straight road games.
The Chicago Sky are averaging 86.6 points on 43.4 percent shooting and allowing 90 points on 44 percent shooting. Kamilla Cardoso is averaging 14.6 points and 8.7 rebounds, while Skylar Diggins is averaging 14.2 points and 3.2 rebounds. Sydney Taylor is the third double-digit scorer, and Azura Stevens is grabbing 6 rebounds. The Chicago Sky are shooting 30.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Chicago Sky are allowing 30.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.4 rebounds per game.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview
The Phoenix Mercury look for a win after winning 4 of their last 5 games. The Mercury have lost 16 of their last 24 regular-season games.
The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 84.2 points on 43.7 percent shooting and allowing 85.9 points on 46 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 20.6 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 14.4 points and 8.4 assists. Jovana Nogic is the third double-digit scorer, and Monique Akoa Makani is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 32.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
- The Mercury have won each of their last eight games against the Sky.
- The Sky have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs.
- The Sky have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as road underdogs after coming off overtime.
- The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Sky’s last four games.
Why the Chicago Sky will win
- The Mercury have lost four of their last five games following a home win.
- The Sky have won 15 of their last 19 games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Sky have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Sky’s last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eleven of the Mercury’s last 13 games at the Mortgage Matchup Center have gone OVER the total points line.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
- DeWanna Bonner ranks last amongst 47 qualified players for three-point field-goal percentage (23.9%) this season.
- Valerianne Ayayi is one of only 10 players to have scored 20+ points off the bench in a game this season.
Chicago Sky Player Facts
- Sydney Taylor ranks 5th amongst qualified players for points per 36 minutes (24.1) this season.
- Azura Stevens ranks 3rd amongst qualified Centers for FT% (82.5%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 2nd for opponent free throws made per game this season (14.2).
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 13th for field goal attempts per game this season (65.9).
- The Chicago Sky rank 14th for opponent free throw percentage this season (81.1%).
- The Chicago Sky rank 1st for free throws made per game this season (19.7).
Mercury vs Sky Injury Report
The Mercury will be without Sami Whitcomb due to a knee injury. Natasha Mack is out with a foot injury. Noemie Brochant is probable despite an ankle injury.
The Sky will be without DiJonai Carrington due to a foot injury. Rickea Jackson is out with a knee injury.
Mercury vs Sky Prediction
The Sky have shown flashes lately, and Cardoso is playing as well as anybody in the league. However, the Sky don’t win on the road, and now there seems to be more drama in the building with Diggins losing her starting role and not being happy about it. Don’t look now, but the Mercury have won three straight games and aren’t that far out of a playoff spot. Copper has elevated her game, and the Mercury look like the team they’re supposed to be. Brochant is also expected to return for this one. This feels like two teams heading in different directions. I’m rolling with the Mercury.