Mercury vs Sun Prediction 7-19-26 WNBA Picks
Mercury vs Sun
July 19, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Mercury -3.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Connecticut Sun and Phoenix Mercury meet Sunday in WNBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Mercury vs Sun Prediction. This article will include a Mercury vs Sun Pick.
Connecticut Sun Betting Preview
The Connecticut Sun need a win to rebound from this awful 7-18 record. The Sun have lost 23 of their last 31 regular-season games.
The Connecticut Sun are averaging 80.4 points on 43.8 percent shooting and allowing 86.2 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Brittney Griner is averaging 13.8 points and 2.7 assists, while Leila Lacan is averaging 13.3 points and 1.8 rebounds. Aneesah Morrow is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaliyah Edwards is dishing out 0.9 assists. The Connecticut Sun is shooting 27.7 percent from beyond the arc and 69.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Connecticut Sun is allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and is grabbing 33.2 rebounds per game.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview
The Phoenix Mercury need a win to snap a 5-game losing streak. The Mercury have lost 21 of their last 29 regular-season games.
The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 83.3 points on 43.9 percent shooting and allowing 87.6 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 20.6 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 14.5 points and 8 assists. Jovana Nogic is the third double-digit scorer, and Monique Akoa Makani is grabbing 1.9 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 32.9 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
- The Sun have lost 10 of their last 11 road games after winning as underdogs.
- The Mercury have won four of their last five day games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mercury has covered the spread in eight of their last 10 day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Sun have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games following a road win.
Why the Connecticut Sun will win
- The Mercury have lost each of their last three games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Sun has won eight of its last 10 games against Mercury teams that held a losing record.
- The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against Sun teams that held a losing record.
- The Sun have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against the Mercury.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Sun’s last six day games has gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of the Mercury’s last nine games as favorites following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
- Kahleah Copper has led her team in scoring 17 times this season – most of any player in the league.
- Noemie Brochant ranks 2nd amongst qualified players in the Western Conference for 3P% (40.9%) this season.
Connecticut Sun Player Facts
- Charlisse Leger-Walker has recorded five games with 3+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
- Olivia Nelson-Ododa is one of only eight players to have made 6+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 1st for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (18.1).
- The Phoenix Mercury have recorded the longest losing streak in the WNBA this season (5 games).
- The Connecticut Sun have suffered the largest comeback loss after Q1 this season – led by -14 points @ Chicago Sky on June 5.
- The Connecticut Sun have scored fewer than 70 points in three home games this season – most in the WNBA.
Mercury vs Sun Injury Report
Aneesah Morrow is questionable for the Sun due to conditioning issues. Saniya Rivers is probable despite an ankle sprain. Aaliyah Edwards is probable despite a knee issue. Brittney Griner is probable despite a rib issue.
Natasha Mack is probable for the Mercury despite a foot injury. Sami Whitcomb is probable despite a knee issue.
Mercury vs Sun Prediction
The Mercury has a chance to be completely healthy for the first time in a while, while the Sun could get Morrow back. This has a chance to be a well-played game. However, we just saw these teams play on Friday, and the Mercury lost badly. Even with reinforcements, the Mercury consistently don’t defend and turn the ball over at a nasty rate. It’s constantly throwing the ball out of bounds. I’m honestly over the Mercury. There’s a lot of talent on this team, but it’s the same performance nightly. Give me the point with the Sun, but it’s a fade of Mercury more than anything.