Mercury vs Valkyries
July 29, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Mercury +4.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Golden State Valkyries and Phoenix Mercury meet Wednesday in WNBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Mercury vs Valkyries Prediction. This article will include a Mercury vs Valkyries Pick.
Golden State Valkyries Betting Preview
The Golden State Valkyries look for a win after winning 9 of their last 10 games. The Valkyries have won 5 straight road games.
The Golden State Valkyries are averaging 81.9 points on 41.9 percent shooting and allowing 76.4 points on 42.3 percent shooting. Gabby Williams is averaging 14.8 points and 3.3 rebounds, while Janelle Salaun is averaging 12.8 points and 1.1 assists. Veronica Burton is the third double-digit scorer, and Kayla Thornton is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Golden State Valkyries are shooting 34.7 percent from beyond the arc and 76.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Valkyries are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.2 rebounds per game.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview
The Phoenix Mercury need a win after losing 5 of their last 7 games. The Mercury have lost 21 of their last 31 regular-season games.
The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 83 points on 43.9 percent shooting and allowing 86.5 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 20.5 points and 3.7 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 14.4 points and 8.3 assists. Jovana Nogic is the third double-digit scorer, and Monique Akoa Makani is grabbing 2.1 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 32.2 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 37 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
- The Mercury have won each of their last six home games following a road win.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in four of the Valkyries’ last five games.
- The Valkyries have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Golden State Valkyries will win
- The Valkyries have won each of their last 13 games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mercury have lost eight of their last nine night games at Mortgage Matchup Center.
- The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as home underdogs.
- The Valkyries have covered the spread in each of their last four night games following a home loss.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Valkyries’ last eight road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the Mercury’s last five home games following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
- Kahleah Copper is one of only three players in the league to have recorded 25+ points and 5+ rebounds in consecutive games this season.
- Noemie Brochant is one of only 12 players to have recorded a 15-point, 10-assist game this season.
Golden State Valkyries Player Facts
- Janelle Salaün ranks 1st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.0) this season.
- Kaitlyn Chen ranks 6th amongst qualified players for effective field goal percentage (62.7%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 2nd for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (7.5).
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 13th for blocks per game this season (3.2).
- The Golden State Valkyries rank 1st for turnovers per game this season (11.5).
- The Golden State Valkyries rank 1st for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.6).
Mercury vs Valkyries Injury Report
Kyara Linskens is questionable for the Mercury with a knee injury.
The Valkyries don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
Mercury vs Valkyries Prediction
The Mercury are better than what they’ve shown up to this point, and maybe two wins before the break turns their season around. I still need to see more. The Valkyries have won 9 of their last 10 games, and they’ve covered 7 of their last 9 games. The Valkyries beat the Mercury twice this season. The Mercury need to earn our trust, and the Valkyries have given us no reason to bet against them lately. Two teams heading in different directions. I’ll lay the points with Golden State.
