Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun Prediction 9-20-23 WNBA Picks

The Connecticut Sun and Minnesota Lynx meet Wednesday in game 3 of the WNBA first round playoffs at the Target Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Connecticut Sun Betting Preview 

The Connecticut Sun haven’t lost in the first round of the playoffs since 2021. The Sun have won 7 of their last 11 games. The Connecticut Sun are averaging 82.5 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 71 points on 41.9 percent shooting. DeWanna Bonner is averaging 20.5 points and 10 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 20.5 points and 8 assists. Rebecca Allen is the third double-digit scorer and Tiffany Hayes is grabbing 0.5 rebounds. The Connecticut Sun are shooting 46 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free throw line. The Connecticut Sun allowing 28.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview 

The Minnesota Lynx haven’t lost in the first round of the playoffs since 2021. The Lynx have lost 3 of their last 4 games. The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 71 points on 41.9 percent shooting and allowing 82.5 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Kayla McBride is averaging 22 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Napheesa Collier is averaging 20 points and 1.5 assists. Rachel Banham is dishing 3.5 assists and Bridget Carleton is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 28.6 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Lynx are allowing 46 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.5 rebounds per game.

Trends

The Sun are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 2 days rest and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Lynx are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. The under is 8-3 in Sun last 11 road games. The over is 5-0 in Lynx last 5 home games. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Randy’s Pick

Give the Minnesota Lynx credit for winning on the road and forcing a game 3, and it makes them worth a look in the underdog role at home. With that said, the Connecticut Sun are still the better team, and I’d assume they can find a way to get the job done in a must win game. The Sun have still won 4 of the 6 meetings against the Lynx, and they’re far and away more consistent offensively and have had their way for the most part. The line is reasonable. Give me the Sun.