Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction 8/4/23 WNBA Picks

The New York Liberty and Minnesota Lynx meet Friday in WNBA action at the Target Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

New York Liberty Betting Preview 

The New York Liberty are 20-6 on the year and currently own the second seed. The Liberty are 10-2 SU on the road. The New York Liberty are averaging 88.2 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 82 points on 42.3 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 22.9 points and 3.7 assists, while Sabrina Ionescu is averaging 16.3 points and 6.1 rebounds. Jonquel Jones is the third double-digit scorer, and Betnijah Laney is dishing 2.2 assists. The New York Liberty are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 83.2 percent from the free throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview 

The Minnesota Lynx look for a statement win after winning 4 of their last 6 games. The Lynx are currently the sixth seed and 6-8 SU at home. The Minnesota Lynx are averaging 80.1 points on 43.4 percent shooting and allowing 85.1 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Napheesa Collier is averaging 21.8 points and 7.9 rebounds, while Diamond Miller is averaging 13.2 points and 2.9 assists. Kayla McBride is the third double-digit scorer and Jessica Shepard is grabbing 8.5 rebounds. The Minnesota Lynx are shooting 31.3 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Lynx are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.3 rebounds per game.

Trends

The Liberty are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Lynx are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The over is 11-5 in Liberty last 16 overall. The over is 4-1 in Lynx last 5 overall. The Liberty are 0-4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota and 2-8-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

Randy’s Pick

The New York Liberty are obviously the better team and should be favored, but they’ve allowed teams to hang around and despite the SU wins, they’ve failed to cover 9 of their last 11 games. The Minnesota Lynx are fighting for their playoff lives, and they just beat the Liberty last week on the road by 14.5 point underdogs. This line is a bit strange, and it’s hard to turn down the free buckets with the Lynx at home. That’s the direction I’m leaning.