Mystics vs Sun
July 28, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Mystics -6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Connecticut Sun and Washington Mystics meet Tuesday in WNBA action at the CareFirst Arena. Here’s a Mystics vs Sun Prediction. This article will include a Mystics vs Sun Pick.
Connecticut Sun Betting Preview
The Connecticut Sun need a win to rebound from this awful 7-20 record. The Sun have lost 25 of their last 33 regular-season games.
The Connecticut Sun are averaging 80 points on 43.6 percent shooting and allowing 87.1 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Brittney Griner is averaging 14.1 points and 2.6 assists, while Leila Lacan is averaging 12.8 points and 1.8 rebounds. Aneesah Morrow is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaliyah Edwards is dishing out 0.9 assists. The Connecticut Sun is shooting 28.2 percent from beyond the arc and 69.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Connecticut Sun is allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and is grabbing 33.1 rebounds per game.
Washington Mystics Betting Preview
The Washington Mystics look for a win after winning 10 of their last 16 games. The Mystics have won 4 of their last 6 home games.
The Washington Mystics are averaging 80.8 points on 43.7 percent shooting and allowing 83.1 points on 42.7 percent shooting. Sonia Citron is averaging 17.2 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Shakira Austin is averaging 15 points and 2.6 assists. Kiki Iriafen is the third double-digit scorer, and Michaela Onyenwere is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Washington Mystics are shooting 29 percent from beyond the arc and 73.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Washington Mystics are allowing 32.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game.
Why the Washington Mystics will win
- The Sun have lost each of their last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Mystics have won four of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The favorites have covered the spread in four of the Sun’s last five games.
- The Sun have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three night games against Mystics teams that held a winning record.
Why the Connecticut Sun will win
- The Sun have won 12 of their last 13 night games against the Mystics.
- The Mystics have lost each of their last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
- The Mystics have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 games as home favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Mystics’ last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Mystics’ last eight games at CareFirst Arena following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of the Sun’s last seven road games have gone OVER the total points line.
Washington Mystics Player Facts
- Kiki Iriafen ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for second chance points per game (4.0) this season.
- Sonia Citron is one of only four qualified players in the league to be leading their team in points (17.2) and assists (3.7) per game this season.
Connecticut Sun Player Facts
- Olivia Nelson-Ododa is one of only eight players to have made 6+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
- Aneesah Morrow is one of only 10 players to have recorded a 15-point, 15-rebound game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Washington Mystics rank 14th for three-point percentage this season (29.0%).
- The Washington Mystics rank 14th for free-throw percentage this season (73.3%).
- The Connecticut Sun have scored less than 70 points in three home games this season – most in the WNBA.
- The Connecticut Sun have used 14 different starting fives this season – most in the league.
Mystics vs Sun Injury Report
The Mystics don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
Brittney Griner is out for the Sun with a knee injury. Saniya Rivers is probable despite an ankle issue. Aaliyah Edwards is probable despite a knee issue.
Mystics vs Sun Prediction
Those who have followed me over the years know the deal with the Mystics. We fade this team as favorites and back them as underdogs. The Mystics are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite. The Mystics are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games when favorites of 5 or more points. The Sun beat the Mystics last month as 4.5-point underdogs, and they’re going to be as healthy as they’ve been in a while with the expected returns of Rivers and Edwards. As I’ve said endless times over the years, the Mystics don’t show up when there are expectations. Give me the points with the Sun.
