New York Liberty vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction 10-18-23 WNBA Picks

The Las Vegas Aces and New York Liberty meet Wednesday in game 4 of the WNBA Finals at the Barclays Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview 

The Las Vegas Aces look to win their second title in franchise history with a win here. The Aces have lost 6 games since July 9. The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 88.4 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 75 points on 39.5 percent shooting. A’ja Wilson is averaging 23.8 points and 11.3 rebounds, while Kelsey Plum is averaging 19.8 points and 2.6 rebounds. Jackie Young is the third double-digit scorer and Chelsea Gray is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 89.7 percent from the free throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 31.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.4 rebounds per game.

New York Liberty Betting Preview 

The New York Liberty look to force a game 5 on Friday with a victory here. The Liberty have lost just 5 games since July 30. The New York Liberty are averaging 83.2 points on 43.2 percent shooting and allowing 84 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 19.3 points and 9.8 rebounds, while Jonquel Jones is averaging 18.2 points and 1.8 assists. Betnijah Laney is the third double-digit scorer, and Sabrina Ionescu is dishing 4.9 assists. The New York Liberty are shooting 32.9 percent from beyond the arc and 79.5 percent from the free throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.4 rebounds per game.

Trends

The Aces are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Liberty are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The over is 3-1-1 in Aces last 5 overall. The over is 5-1 in Liberty last 6 overall. The Aces are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New York and 19-8 ATS in the last 27 meetings.

Randy’s Pick

I wouldn’t talk you off the ledge if looking at the Las Vegas Aces and the free points, as you never get them as underdogs. However, this line is what it is because the Aces will be without Chelsea Gray and Kiah Stokes, two starters. The Aces have been rolling with a six-player rotation for the most part in these playoffs, so they’re going to have to play women who haven’t been getting big minutes. This is a massive advantage for the Liberty, and anything but a win for the home team would be a massive disappointment. I’ll lay the chalk with the Liberty, as we head into a deciding game 5 on Friday.