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Sparks vs Liberty Prediction 6-21-26 WNBA Picks

Sparks vs Liberty
June 21, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Sparks +4.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Liberty and Los Angeles Sparks meet Sunday in WNBA action at the Crypto.com Arena. Here’s a Sparks vs Liberty Prediction. This article will include a Sparks vs Liberty Pick.

New York Liberty Betting Preview

The New York Liberty look for a win after winning 8 of their last 9 games. The Liberty has won 5 straight road games.

The New York Liberty are averaging 88.6 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 82.6 points on 42.8 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 19.5 points and 2.9 assists, while Jonquel Jones is averaging 13.9 points and 9.1 rebounds. Satou Sabally is the third double-digit scorer, and Marine Johannes is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 85.8 percent from the free-throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.4 rebounds per game.

Los Angeles Sparks Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Sparks look for a win after splitting their last 12 games. The Sparks have lost 6 of their last 8 home games.

The Los Angeles Sparks are averaging 87.7 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 90.9 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Kelsey Plum is averaging 25 points and 6.4 assists, while Nneka Ogwumike is averaging 15.2 points and 8.9 rebounds. Dearica Hamby is the third double-digit scorer, and Rae Burrell is dishing out 1.6 assists. The Los Angeles Sparks are shooting 32.3 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Los Angeles Sparks are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Los Angeles Sparks will win

  • The Sparks have won four of their last five day games at Crypto.com Arena following a home loss.
  • The Liberty have lost four of their last five games following a home loss.
  • The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Sparks have covered the spread in each of their last four day games against the Liberty at Crypto.com Arena.

Why the New York Liberty will win

  • The Sparks have lost each of their last seven games at Crypto.com Arena against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Liberty have won 17 of their last 18 Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Sparks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven home games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in six of the Sparks’ last seven games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Liberty’s last five games against Western Conference opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the last four day games between the Sparks and Liberty at Crypto.com Arena has gone UNDER the total points line.

Los Angeles Sparks Player Facts

  • Erica Wheeler ranks last amongst 47 qualified players for three-point field-goal percentage (23.8%) this season.
  • Ariel Atkins ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.8) this season.

New York Liberty Player Facts

  • Jonquel Jones has recorded 1+ steal + block in each of her last 31 games – the longest active streak of any player in the league.
  • Marine Johannes is one of only three players in the league to have made 5+ threes in consecutive games this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Los Angeles Sparks rank 14th for blocks per game this season (3.3).
  • The Los Angeles Sparks rank 13th for rebounds per game this season (31.3).
  • The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throw percentage this season (69.6%).
  • The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throws made per game this season (13.9).

Sparks vs Liberty Injury Report

Cameron Brink is out for the Sparks with an ankle injury.

The Liberty don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Sparks vs Liberty Prediction

The Sparks are down a key player in Brink, which is an issue given the size of New York. The Sparks also haven’t protected home court well. This is also a nice revenge spot for the Liberty after an inexcusable home loss to the Mystics. Unlike past games, we’re not being asked to lay a lot with the Liberty. This is a spot the Liberty should win comfortably, as the Sparks can’t find their consistency and can’t be trusted against good teams.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Liberty -4.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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