Sparks vs Mercury
July 22, 2026 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Sparks -1.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Phoenix Mercury and Los Angeles Sparks meet Wednesday in WNBA action at the Crypto.com Arena. Here’s a Sparks vs Mercury Prediction. This article will include a Sparks vs Mercury Pick.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview
The Phoenix Mercury need a win after losing 5 of their last 6 games. The Mercury have lost 21 of their last 30 regular-season games.
The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 82.9 points on 43.8 percent shooting and allowing 86.7 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 20.5 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 14.2 points and 8.1 assists. Jovana Nogic is the third double-digit scorer, and Monique Akoa Makani is grabbing 2.2 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 32.4 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 37.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.4 rebounds per game.
Los Angeles Sparks Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Sparks need a win after losing 9 of their last 12 games. The Sparks have won 3 of their last 4 home games.
The Los Angeles Sparks are averaging 88.5 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 93.5 points on 47.6 percent shooting. Kelsey Plum is averaging 23.9 points and 6.4 assists, while Nneka Ogwumike is averaging 17.3 points and 9 rebounds. Dearica Hamby is the third double-digit scorer, and Rae Burrell is dishing out 2.2 assists. The Los Angeles Sparks are shooting 31.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Los Angeles Sparks are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31 rebounds per game.
Why the Los Angeles Sparks will win
- The home team has won nine of the Sparks’ last 10 games.
- The Mercury have lost each of their last four games following a home win.
- The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Sparks have covered the spread in each of their last four day games against Western Conference opponents.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
- The road team has won each of the last five games between the Sparks and Mercury.
- The Sparks have lost each of their last five games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Mercury have covered the spread in seven of their last eight day games against Sparks teams that held a losing record.
- The Sparks have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites following a road loss.
Total Points Facts
- Five of the Mercury’s last six games against the Sparks following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the last six day games between the Sparks and Mercury have gone UNDER the total points line.
Los Angeles Sparks Player Facts
- Nneka Ogwumike is the only qualified player in the league to be leading their team in rebounds per game (9.0) and free-throw percentage (84.5%) this season.
- Dearica Hamby ranks 6th amongst qualified players for FG% (53.3%) this season.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
- DeWanna Bonner ranks last amongst 48 qualified players for three-point field-goal percentage (23.9%) this season.
- Noemie Brochant ranks 2nd amongst qualified players in the Western Conference for 3P% (40.9%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Los Angeles Sparks rank 14th for opponent rebounds per game this season (35.6).
- The Los Angeles Sparks rank 14th for offensive rebounds per game this season (7.4).
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for field goal attempts per game this season (65.4).
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 2nd for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (7.4).
Sparks vs Mercury Injury Report
Kelsey Plum is out for the Sparks with a leg injury. Kiana Williams is questionable with a hand injury.
The Mercury don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
Sparks vs Mercury Prediction
I said in a previous write-up that I’m done with the Mercury. A talented roster that doesn’t play with a sense of urgency, turns the ball over constantly, and doesn’t defend with any seriousness. The Sparks aren’t lighting the world on fire either, and they’ve been bad at home, but they score the ball at an above-average clip, and they’ve won twice against the Mercury already this season. We’re laying less than a full bucket. I’ll gladly side with the Sparks at home. The Mercury are the most disappointing team in the league.
