Storm vs Liberty
September 5, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Storm -1
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Liberty and Seattle Storm meet Friday in WNBA action at the Climate Pledge Arena. Here’s a Storm vs Liberty Prediction. This article will include a Storm vs Liberty Pick.
New York Liberty Betting Preview
The New York Liberty lost to the Mercury and Valkyries, and they play the Mystics next. The Liberty have lost 7 of their last 11 games.
The New York Liberty are averaging 84.5 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 80.6 points on 42.2 percent shooting. Sabrina Ionescu is averaging 18.8 points and 5.4 assists, while Breanna Stewart is averaging 18 points and 6.5 rebounds. Jonquel Jones is the third double-digit scorer, and Natasha Cloud is dishing 5.2 assists. The New York Liberty are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 83.2 percent from the free throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 31.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.5 rebounds per game.
Seattle Storm Betting Preview
The Seattle Storm beat the Sky, lost to the Sparks, and they play the Valkyries next. The Seattle Storm have won 5 of their last 7 games.
The Seattle Storm are averaging 82.5 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 80.2 points on 44.3 percent shooting. Nneka Ogwumike is averaging 18.3 points and 7 rebounds, while Brittney Sykes is averaging 11.7 points and 2.8 rebounds. Skylar Diggins is the third double-digit scorer and Gabby Williams is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Seattle Storm are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 77.1 percent from the free throw line. The Seattle Storm are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.9 rebounds per game.
New York Liberty @ Seattle Storm Betting Trends: September 5, 2025
Why the Seattle Storm will win
- The Liberty have lost each of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Storm have won each of their last 10 games as favorites against the Liberty.
- The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 13 road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Storm have covered the spread in eight of their last nine night games against Liberty teams that held a winning record.
Why the New York Liberty will win
- The Storm have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites.
- The Liberty have won each of their last five night games against the Storm.
- The Storm have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine night games at Climate Pledge Arena.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Storm’s last eight games at Climate Pledge Arena.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Liberty’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Storm’s last five home games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Seattle Storm Player Facts
- Skylar Diggins has recorded 2+ assists in 83 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Gabby Williams has recorded 2+ steals in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
New York Liberty Player Facts
- Sabrina Ionescu ranks 1st amongst qualified players in the Eastern Conference for assists per game (5.4) this season.
- Jonquel Jones ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (1.9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Seattle Storm rank 12th for offensive rebounds per game this season (6.8).
- The Seattle Storm rank 1st for steals per game this season (8.5).
- The New York Liberty rank 12th for opponent rebounds per game this season (35.9).
- The New York Liberty rank 1st for free throw percentage this season (83.2%).
Storm vs Liberty Injury Report
The Storm will continue to be without Katie Lou Samuelson due to a torn ACL.
Nyara Sabally and Sabrina Ionescu are questionable for the Liberty.
Storm vs Liberty Prediction
The Liberty and free points is always attractive, but they’ve been sloppy over the last month, and they’re a tough sell if they’re going to be down Sabally and Ionescu. The Liberty have also had issues on the road all year when 12 of their 17 losses have come. The Storm have run hot and cold lately, but they pretty much lock up a playoff spot with a victory, so there’s a motivation factor here. Check the injury report before betting, as the Liberty are limping toward the finish line. I’ll still lean Storm on Friday night.
