Sun vs Aces Prediction 5-15-26 WNBA Picks
Sun vs Aces
May 15, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Aces -15.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Las Vegas Aces and Connecticut Sun meet Friday in WNBA action at the Mohegan Sun Arena. Here’s a Sun vs. Aces Prediction. This article will include a Sun vs. Aces Pick.
Las Vegas Aces Betting Preview
The Las Vegas Aces look for a third straight win to improve to 3-1 on the season. The Aces have won 10 straight regular season road games.
The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 89.7 points on 52.4 percent shooting and allowing 82 points on 40 percent shooting. A’ja Wilson is averaging 20 points and 6.3 rebounds, while Chennedy Carter is averaging 19.7 points and 3.7 rebounds. Jackie Young is the third double-digit scorer and NaLyssa Smith is dishing 1.7 assists. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 29.1 percent from beyond the arc and 67.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.3 rebounds per game.
Connecticut Sun Betting Preview
The Connecticut Sun is still looking for their first win of the season. The Suns hope to avoid back-to-back 0-4 starts.
The Connecticut Sun are averaging 75.3 points on 37.2 percent shooting and allowing 97.7 points on 50.5 percent shooting. Aneesah Morrow is averaging 16 points and 0.3 assists, while Brittney Griner is averaging 14.5 points and 6 rebounds. Diamond Miller is the third double-digit scorer, and Hailey Van Lith is dishing out 3 assists. The Connecticut Sun is shooting 25.9 percent from beyond the arc and 70.5 percent from the free throw line. The Connecticut Sun are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34 rebounds per game.
Why the Connecticut Sun will win
- The Sun has won 26 of their last 34 games at Mohegan Sun Arena following a home loss.
- The Aces have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 16 games as road favorites following a road win.
- The Sun has covered the spread in seven of their last eight Friday games.
Why the Las Vegas Aces will win
- The Sun have lost each of their last 12 night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Aces have won each of their last 11 games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Sun has failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games.
- The favorites have covered the spread in nine of the Aces’ last 10 games at Mohegan Sun Arena.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of the Aces’ last 10 night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the last eight games between the Sun and Aces have gone UNDER the total points line.
Connecticut Sun Player Facts
- Brittney Griner ranks T1st amongst qualified players for FT% (100.0%) this season.
- Kennedy Burke has recorded three games with 3+ assists this season—equal to the most of any player in the league.
Las Vegas Aces Player Facts
- Jackie Young ranks T1st amongst qualified players for FT% (100.0%) this season.
- A’ja Wilson has scored 15+ points in nine consecutive appearances—the longest active streak of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Connecticut Sun rank 14th for opponent points per game this season (97.7).
- The Connecticut Sun rank 14th for field goal percentage this season (37.2%).
- The Las Vegas Aces rank T1st for blocks per game this season (8.0).
- The Las Vegas Aces rank 14th for free throw percentage this season (67.4%).
Sun vs Aces Injury Report
Olivia Nelson-Ododa is questionable for the Sun due to an ankle sprain.
The Aces will be without Dana Evans due to a leg injury. Janiah Barker is out with a head injury.
Sun vs Aces Prediction
I don’t want to lay this many points on the road as much as the next guy, but we just saw the Aces take the Sun behind the barn on Wednesday, winning 98-69. The Sun haven’t played a lick of defense through three games and they’re 0-3 ATS as well. The Sun have failed to cover 8 of their last 9 games dating back to last season. Usually games are more competitive the second time around in a short span but there’s nothing the Sun has shown up to this point that suggests things will be different. The Sun are making a strong early case for the worst team in the W. Give me the Aces in a beatdown.