Sun vs Liberty
June 8, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Sun +12.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Liberty and Connecticut Sun meet Monday in WNBA action at the Mohegan Sun Arena. Here’s a Sun vs Liberty Prediction. This article will include a Sun vs Liberty Pick.
New York Liberty Betting Preview
The New York Liberty look to build on their 4-game winning streak. The Liberty has won 2 of their last 3 road games.
The New York Liberty are averaging 87.2 points on 44.9 percent shooting and allowing 82.4 points on 42.2 percent shooting. Breanna Stewart is averaging 19.8 points and 2.5 assists, while Jonquel Jones is averaging 13.1 points and 9.5 rebounds. Marine Johannes is the third double-digit scorer, and Pauline Astier is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The New York Liberty are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 86.1 percent from the free-throw line. The New York Liberty are allowing 32.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.5 rebounds per game.
Connecticut Sun Betting Preview
The Connecticut Sun need a win to rebound from a horrible 2-10 start. The Sun have lost 15 of their last 18 regular-season games.
The Connecticut Sun are averaging 75.9 points on 41.3 percent shooting and allowing 88.1 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Brittney Griner is averaging 12.8 points and 2.5 assists, while Aneesah Morrow is averaging 12.3 points and 10.9 rebounds. Leila Lacan is grabbing 1.7 rebounds, and Diamond Miller is dishing out 1.1 assists. The Connecticut Sun is shooting 25.8 percent from beyond the arc and 68.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Connecticut Sun is allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and is grabbing 33.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Connecticut Sun will win
- The home team has won seven of the Sun’s last eight games.
- The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The home team has covered the spread in four of the last five games between the Sun and Liberty.
Why the New York Liberty will win
- The Sun have lost each of their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Liberty have won each of their last seven night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Liberty have covered the spread in each of their last four games as favorites.
- The Sun have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Sun’s last four games against Eastern Conference opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Liberty’s last six night games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Connecticut Sun Player Facts
- Diamond Miller ranks T8th in the league for fast-break points (23) this season.
- Saniya Rivers leads all Connecticut Sun players for assists per 36 minutes (5.2) this season.
New York Liberty Player Facts
- Pauline Astier has recorded four games with 2+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal to the most of any player in the league.
- Breanna Stewart has recorded 4+ steals + blocks in each of her last one games – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Connecticut Sun rank 14th for opponent steals per game this season (8.8).
- The Connecticut Sun rank 1st for opponent turnovers per game this season (15.8).
- The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throw percentage this season (72.8%).
- The New York Liberty rank 14th for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (27.8).
Sun vs Liberty Injury Report
Brittney Griner is out for the Sun with a rib strain. Kennedy Burke is questionable with an illness.
Sabrina Ionescu is out for the Liberty due to back soreness.
Sun vs Liberty Prediction
I don’t want to back the Sun as much as the next guy, as they’ve comfortably been the worst team in the WNBA all season. This team is awful at both ends of the floor, and they’ll be down one of their best players in Griner as well. However, this is a lot of points for a Liberty team that has yet to play to its potential. Also, the Liberty haven’t done well in the big favorite role, which includes being 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as a double-digit favorite. Five of those games were outright losses. I’m going to plug my nose and grab the points with the Sun.
