Sun vs Mercury
August 7, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Sun +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Phoenix Mercury and Connecticut Sun meet Friday in WNBA action at the Mohegan Sun Arena. Here’s a Sun vs Mercury Prediction. This article will include a Sun vs Mercury Pick.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview
The Phoenix Mercury look for a win after winning 4 of their last 6 games. The Mercury have lost 23 of their last 35 regular-season games.
The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 84.2 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 87.6 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 21 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Kelsey Plum is averaging 19.5 points and 4 assists. Alyssa Thomas is the third double-digit scorer, and Jovana Nogic is grabbing 1.1 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 32.4 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 37 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.3 rebounds per game.
Connecticut Sun Betting Preview
The Connecticut Sun need a win to rebound from this awful 7-23 record. The Sun have lost 28 of their last 36 regular-season games.
The Connecticut Sun are averaging 79.8 points on 43.3 percent shooting and allowing 87.3 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Brittney Griner is averaging 14.1 points and 2.6 assists, while Leila Lacan is averaging 12.3 points and 2 rebounds. Olivia Nelson-Ododa is grabbing 6.1 rebounds, and Diamond Miller is dishing out 1.4 assists. The Connecticut Sun is shooting 29.5 percent from beyond the arc and 69.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Connecticut Sun is allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and is grabbing 32.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Connecticut Sun will win
- The Mercury have lost nine of their last 10 games at Mohegan Sun Arena.
- The Sun have won seven of their last eight home games against the Mercury.
- The Sun have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against the Mercury at Mohegan Sun Arena.
- The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road games against Sun teams that held a losing record.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
- The Sun have lost each of their last seven night games following a road loss.
- The Mercury have won each of their last three road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Sun have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Mercury have covered the spread in five of their last six games.
Total Points Facts
- Five of the Mercury’s last six night games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of the Sun’s last five home games against the Mercury have gone OVER the total points line.
Connecticut Sun Player Facts
- Olivia Nelson-Ododa is one of only eight players to have made 6+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
- Charlisse Leger-Walker ranks 11th amongst qualified players in the Eastern Conference for assists per game (3.4) this season.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
- Kelsey Plum is one of only three qualified players to have made a three in every game this season.
- Kahleah Copper ranks 2nd amongst qualified players in the Western Conference for points per game (21.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Connecticut Sun rank 14th for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.3).
- The Connecticut Sun rank 14th for field goal percentage this season (43.3%).
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for field goal attempts per game this season (65.1).
- 10 different Phoenix Mercury players have scored 15+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
Sun vs Mercury Injury Report
Brittney Griner is questionable for the Sun with a knee injury. Raegan Beers is out with a concussion.
The Mercury don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
Sun vs Mercury Prediction
The Mercury don’t deserve to lay these sort of numbers. I don’t care who they’re playing. They don’t defend and have turnover issues on offense. However, I’ve given the Sun a look a few times this season just for them to get blasted by 20 points. We’re to the point in the season where the garbage teams may be looking at tanking for a better pick. The Sun already have their eyes on Houston. The Mercury have the scoring punch to give the Sun fits, and they’re at least still trying to rack up wins for a snowball’s chance in hell at the playoffs. Don’t love the line, but the Mercury should roll. Should being the key word.
