Valkyries vs Mercury Prediction 5-10-26 WNBA Picks

The Phoenix Mercury and Golden State Valkyries meet Sunday in WNBA action at the Chase Center. Here’s a Valkyries vs. Mercury Prediction. This article will include a Valkyries vs. Mercury Pick.

Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview

The Phoenix Mercury look for another win after upsetting Las Vegas in their season opener. The Mercury looks for back-to-back 2-0 starts to the season.

The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 99 points on 49.4 percent shooting and allowing 66 points on 40.8 percent shooting. Alyssa Thomas is averaging 20 points and 6 rebounds, while Jovana Nogic is averaging 19 points and 4 assists. DeWanna Bonner is the third double-digit scorer and Kahleah Copper is grabbing 0 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 45.8 percent from beyond the arc and 80 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 21.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game.

Golden State Valkyries Betting Preview

The Golden State Valkyries look for another win after beating Seattle in their season opener. The Valkyries have won 6 of their last 9 regular season games.

The Golden State Valkyries are averaging 91 points on 41.9 percent shooting and allowing 80 points on 41.3 percent shooting. Janelle Salaun is averaging 20 points and 2 rebounds, while Veronica Burton is averaging 16 points and 6 assists. Kaitlyn Chen is the third double-digit scorer and Kayla Thornton is grabbing 8 rebounds. The Golden State Valkyries are shooting 40.5 percent from beyond the arc and 63.6 percent from the free throw line. The Golden State Valkyries are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35 rebounds per game.

Why the Golden State Valkyries will win

• The Valkyries have won each of their last eight games as favorites.
• The Mercury have lost each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Valkyries have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
• The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Phoenix Mercury will win

• The Valkyries have lost each of their last 11 games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mercury have won each of their last seven night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mercury have covered the spread in each of their last five road games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
• The Valkyries have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at Chase Center against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Mercury’s last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Thirteen of the Valkyries’ last 16 night games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Golden State Valkyries Player Facts

• Gabby Williams recorded at least 1 steal in 11 consecutive appearances—the longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Veronica Burton was the only qualified player in the league to lead their team in blocks per game (0.6) and free-throw percentage (87.8%) last season.

Phoenix Mercury Player Facts

• Alyssa Thomas ranked 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (9.2) last season.
• Natasha Mack ranked 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (3.0) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Golden State Valkyries ranked 1st for opponent points per game last season (76.3).
• The Golden State Valkyries ranked 1st for opponent field goal percentage last season (40.5%).
• The Phoenix Mercury scored 80+ points in each of their last three games—equal to the longest streak of any team since the Las Vegas Aces in 2025.
• The Phoenix Mercury have allowed fewer than 100 points in each of their last 30 games—the team’s longest streak since 2021.

Valkyries vs Mercury Injury Report

The Valkyries will be without Juste Jocyte and Iliana Rupert.

The Mercury will be without Valeriane Ayayi, Monique Akoa Makani, and Sami Whitcomb.

Valkyries vs Mercury Prediction

It’s easy to buy into the Mercury after their blowout win over the Aces, but let’s pump the brakes. If anything, that creates a letdown spot here. Also, the Mercury are on the end of a back-to-back, which is a tough ask while players are still finding a rhythm. The Valkyries looked good in their season opener as well and they have the best home crowd in the league. The Chase Center will be rocking. With the rest advantage and that deafening crowd, I’ll lay the bucket with Golden State.