Wings vs Mercury Prediction 6-11-26 WNBA Picks
Wings vs Mercury
June 11, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Wings -6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Phoenix Mercury and Dallas Wings meet Thursday in WNBA action at the College Park Center. Here’s a Wings vs Mercury Prediction. This article will include a Wings vs Mercury Pick.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview
The Phoenix Mercury need a win after losing 9 of their last 12 games. The Mercury have lost 12 of their last 16 regular-season games.
The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 81.6 points on 41.7 percent shooting and allowing 85.1 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 17.4 points and 2.9 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 15.6 points and 7.7 assists. Monique Akoa Makani is the third double-digit scorer, and Jovana Nogic is grabbing 1.1 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 31.3 percent from beyond the arc and 80.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 38 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.8 rebounds per game.
Dallas Wings Betting Preview
The Dallas Wings look to stay hot after winning 6 of their last 8 games. The Wings have won 3 straight home games.
The Dallas Wings are averaging 88.2 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 84.5 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Paige Bueckers is averaging 18.7 points and 5.8 assists, while Arike Ogunbowale is averaging 14.9 points and 2.6 rebounds. Jessica Shepard is the third double-digit scorer, and Azzi Fudd is dishing out 1.1 assists. The Dallas Wings are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 78 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Wings are allowing 32.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Dallas Wings will win
- The Mercury have lost each of their last six games following a road loss.
- The Wings have won four of their last five games.
- The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games following a road loss.
- The Wings have covered the spread in each of their last four games as favorites.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
- The Wings have lost nine of their last 10 games at College Park Center against teams that held a losing record.
- The Wings have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games against Mercury teams that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of Mercury’s last three games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last six night games between the Wings and Mercury has gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Mercury’s last six road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Dallas Wings Player Facts
- Azzi Fudd has recorded 2+ steals + blocks in each of her last six games – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Paige Bueckers is one of only two players in the league to have recorded 13+ assists in a game this season.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
- Alyssa Thomas has recorded 3+ assists in 78 consecutive appearances – the longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Kahleah Copper has made 2+ free throws in 11 consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dallas Wings rank 1st for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.4).
- The Dallas Wings rank 1st for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (17.7).
- The Phoenix Mercury have recorded the equal-longest home losing streak in the WNBA this season (4 games).
- The Phoenix Mercury have suffered the equal-largest comeback loss after Q3 this season – led by -8 points @ Atlanta Dream on May 24.
Wings vs Mercury Injury Report
Awak Kuier is probable for the Wings despite a wrist injury. Odyssey Sims is out with an ankle injury.
The Mercury will be without Sami Whitcomb due to a knee injury.
Wings vs Mercury Prediction
The Mercury will be healthier than it’s been recently, but that doesn’t mean much. The Mercury is broken and can’t be trusted. It’s just that simple. The Wings still have issues defensively, and with the injury to Sims, they’re limited in the post. However, the Wings are lighting it up offensively, and they’ve cashed seven tickets. I’m not excited to lay this many points with the Wings, but this has more to do with the lack of trust I have in the Mercury. I have to lay the points with the Wings.