Wings vs Mercury
September 19, 2026 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Wings -9.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Phoenix Mercury and Dallas Wings meet Saturday in WNBA action at the College Park Center. Here’s a Wings vs. Mercury Prediction. This article will include a Wings vs. Mercury Pick.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview
The Phoenix Mercury look for a win after losing 8 of their last 12 games. The Mercury have lost 29 of their last 44 regular-season games.
The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 84.4 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 87.3 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Kahleah Copper is averaging 21.3 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Kelsey Plum is averaging 15.8 points and 2.8 assists. Alyssa Thomas is the third double-digit scorer, and Jovana Nogic is grabbing 1.1 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 33.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.5 rebounds per game.
Dallas Wings Betting Preview
The Dallas Wings look to build on their 5-game winning streak. The Wings have won 7 of their last 8 home games.
The Dallas Wings are averaging 89.2 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 85.2 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Paige Bueckers is averaging 20.4 points and 5.8 assists, while Arike Ogunbowale is averaging 15.1 points and 3.1 rebounds. Jessica Shepard is the third double-digit scorer, and Maddy Siegrist is dishing out 0.9 assists. The Dallas Wings are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Wings are allowing 33.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.6 rebounds per game.
Why the Dallas Wings will win
- The Wings have won each of their last 11 home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mercury have lost each of their last nine Saturday games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the last six games between the Wings and Mercury.
- The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight day games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
- The road team has won six of the Mercury’s last seven games.
- The Wings have lost seven of their last nine-day games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Wings have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 day games at College Park Center.
- The Mercury have covered the spread in each of their last three games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Wings’ last nine home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the Mercury’s last five day games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Dallas Wings Player Facts
- Jessica Shepard has finished with a positive plus-minus in each of her last five games as a starter – equal-longest active streak in the league.
- Madison Siegrist ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for assist-to-turnover ratio (3.4) this season.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
- Noemie Brochant ranks 5th amongst qualified players in the Western Conference for 3P% (39.3%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dallas Wings rank 1st for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.8).
- The Dallas Wings rank 1st for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.6).
- 11 different Phoenix Mercury players have scored 15+ points in a game this season – tied for most in the league.
- Eight different Phoenix Mercury players have scored 20+ points in a game this season – tied for most in the league.
Wings vs Mercury Injury Report
Azzi Fudd is out for the Wings with a knee injury. Alanna Smith is out due to a leg injury. Odyssey Sims is questionable with a knee issue.
Kelsey Plum is out for the Mercury with a leg injury. Kahleah Copper is questionable with a groin issue.
Wings vs Mercury Prediction
I don’t love big numbers with an early start, as we tend to see sluggish play out of the gate. Players are creatures of habit, and you’re talking about a noon start on a Saturday for Dallas. Still, the Mercury stink and probably get blown out, especially if Copper is still out. Sure, the Mercury have won two straight games, but wins over Toronto and Portland don’t move he needle. The Wings are the more disciplined team, and they need a win to stay out of the eighth seed. It’s a big number for a reason. The Wings should roll.
