Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns - 2/18/14
Phoenix Suns (30-21) at Denver Nuggets (24-27)
NBA Basketball: Tuesday, February 18, 2014 at 9:00 pm (Pepsi Center)
The Line: Denver Nuggets +2 -- Over/Under: 210 See the Latest Odds
The Denver Nuggets collide with the visiting Phoenix Suns on Tuesday night in prime time NBA action.
Head to head, the Suns are 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Denver while the home team is 20-7-1 ATS in the last 28 meetings and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Nuggets are 26-9-2 ATS in their last 37 games playing on 3 or more days rest, and 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a wining road record, but just 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Suns on the other hand are 21-10-1 ATS in their last 32 vs. Western Conference, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
What’s going on with the Denver Nuggets lately? Granted, injuries have been a big problem, but that’s no excuse for the way they have been playing recently. The Nuggets entered the All-Star break in pretty bad shape, having just been swept on their four-game road trip by an average of 27 points. I don't think there has been a worse four-game stretch by any team this season, however, the Philadelphia 76ers did just lost dropped back-to-back contests by over 40 points apiece. Although it's still possible, it doesn't appear that Denver will be playing in the playoffs this season, currently sitting six games behind the eighth placed Golden State Warriors.
On the other hand, a playoff berth is very much in play for this young Phoenix Suns outfit. Phoenix, who has been the biggest single surprise so far this season, has won 30 of a possible 51 games, which is already 10 games over what they were expected to win. Further more, the Suns have been ever better against the spread, covering the number in 33 of those 51 and they are 18-7 ATS in their road games this season, which is the best mark in the entire league.
I want to think the Nuggets come out strong here and they are playing at home after all, but it's not going to be easy to get past this covering machine we call the Phoenix Suns. With both Ty Lawson and Nate Robinson out of the lineup, I don't see who takes control for a Nuggets team that is disaray at the moment.
The Suns are 3-0 against the Nuggets this season, which is both a good thing and bad thing because while it shows their dominace over Denver, sweeping them in a season is really hard to do. Still, with no viable point guard option, I just don't see it for the home team tonight...
Dan’s Pick: Phoenix -2
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Jennifer Stewart-USA TODAY Sport