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MLB Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers – July 10, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers - July 10, 2022
2022-07-10 14:10:00 EDT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (34-50) face the Milwaukee Brewers (48-37) at American Family Field on Sunday at 2:10pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jose Quintana is the probable pitcher for the Pirates, while Eric Lauer is the probable pitcher for the Brewers. The Brewers are favored to win at -177, while the Pirates are at +150. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -106 and UNDER at -115.

  • The Pirates (-130) have a 40-44 Run Line record this season, while the Brewers (+110) hold a record of 36-49.
  • The Pirates have a 35-42-7 O/U record this season (meaning 35 games have gone over the total runs line, 42 have gone under and seven have resulted in a push). The Brewers have a 42-37-6 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Pirates are averaging 3.6 runs per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Brewers are averaging +0.9 more at 4.6 runs (9th).
  • In the field, the Pirates are allowing a whopping 5.2 runs per game this season (27th in the league), while the Brewers are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (12th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Pirates are at .219 (ranking 29th in the Major Leagues), while the Brewers are batting .236 (22nd).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Brewers have hit 117 (4th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Pirates have managed 90 (T13th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Pirates have recorded 283 RBIs to rank 28th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Brewers have recorded 378 RBIs to rank 8th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Brewers have an earned run average of 3.74 this season (9th in the Majors), while the Pirates have an ERA of 4.76 (26th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Pirates have recorded 667 this season, ranking 20th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Brewers rank 2nd for total strikeouts, recording 796.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .232 against the Brewers this season (7th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Pirates’ opponents are at .261 (27th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Pirates 13-22-49 8-10-25 5-12-24 7-13-33 6-9-16 0-0-0 0-1-9
  • Brewers 21-16-48 10-4-24 11-12-24 12-8-26 9-8-22 0-0-0 2-0-8

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Pirates 28-36-20 14-16-13 14-20-7 18-23-12 10-13-8 0-0-0 4-2-3
  • Brewers 30-30-25 16-10-12 14-20-13 19-12-15 11-18-10 0-0-0 4-3-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 45-39 in Pirates games this season. The Brewers have a 43-42 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Pirates recorded a shock 4-3 victory over the Brewers at American Family Field yesterday. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Luis Urias did what he could, hitting a home run. That result snapped the Brewers’ five-game winning streak against the Pirates at American Family Field.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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