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Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks NBA Picks, Odds, Predictions 12/30/20

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat 12/30/20: NBA Basketball free preview, analysis, prediction, odds and pick against the spread.
2020-12-30 19:30:00 EDT

The Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat meet Tuesday in NBA action at the AmericanAirlines Arena.  

The Milwaukee Bucks look for another win to get a game above a .500 record. The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 123 points on 49.6 percent shooting and allowing 117 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Khris Middleton is averaging 26.7 points and six assists while Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 25.7 points and 13 rebounds. Jrue Holiday is the third double-digit scorer and Donte DiVincenzo is dishing 1.3 assists. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 74 percent from the free thitem line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 39.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 52 rebounds per game.

The Miami Heat need a win here to get back to a .500 record. The Miami Heat are averaging 109 points on 50.6 percent shooting and allowing 105.5 points on 44 percent shooting. Bam Adebayo is averaging 21 points and 7.5 rebounds while Goran Dragic is averaging 19 points and eight assists. Duncan Robinson is the third double-digit scorer and Avery Bradley is grabbing two rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 40.4 percent from beyond the arc and 83.3 percent from the free thitem line. The Miami Heat are allowing 31.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39 rebounds per game.

The Bucks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games and 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games overall. The over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 overall. The under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 home games. The Bucks are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Miami and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

The Milwaukee Bucks likely won’t be as efficient as they were in yesterdays game, but it’s hard not to back them after what they did to the Heat Tuesday night. The Miami Heat are still without Jimmy Butler and lack the playmakers to create offense when Jimmy, Goran or Bam don’t have the ball. I expect the Heat to play harder after getting embarrassed, but I’m not backing them. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -5.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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