
Jelena Ostapenko vs Barbora Krejcikova Prediction – Tennis Picks 6/25/2023
2023-06-25 09:00:00 EDT
The Line: Barbora Krejcikova / Jelena Ostapenko
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Barbora Krejcikova and Jelena Ostapenko meet in the final of the 2023 tennis Birmingham Classic. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Barbora Krejcikova Betting Preview
Barbora Krejcikova is coming off a straight set win over Lin Zhu that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Krejcikova won 78 percent of her first serve points and 47 percent of her second serve points. Krejcikova won 67 percent of her total service points and converted on 4 of her 11 break points. Krejcikova got 65 percent of her first serves in play and hit 4 aces. Each of Krejcikova’s last 6 victories have been decided in straight sets. Krejcikova looks to win her second title of the year and her seventh title of her career. Krejcikova has won 6 of her last 7 final appearances and 6 of her 9 finals overall. This is Krejcikova’s first final appearance on grass. Krejcikova has won 6 of her last 7 matches on grass court.
Jelena Ostapenko Betting Preview
Jelena Ostapenko is coming off a 3 sets win over Anastasia Potapova that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Ostapenko won 61 percent of her first serve points and 62 percent of her second serve points. Ostapenko won 61 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 9 break points. Ostapenko got 63 percent of her first serves in play and hit 3 aces. Ostapenko has won all 4 matches this tournament in 3 sets, and has won 7 of her last 8 matches overall that have gone the distance. Ostapenko looks to win her first title since the 2022 Dubai Championships and her fifth title of her career. Ostapenko is 5-8 in career final appearances and 1-1 in finals on grass. Ostapenko has won 8 of her last 10 matches on grass court.
H2H History
Ostapenko has won 3 of the 5 meetings against Krejcikova, including the most recent match this year in Rome. Krejcikova’s last win over Ostapenko was in the 2022 Australian Open. Four of the 5 meetings were decided in straight sets. This will be the first match on grass.
Randy’s Pick
Ostapenko is probably going to get the benefit of the doubt, but she’s had to battle in all 4 matches, and you have to wonder if it’s going to take its toll. Krejcikova has been more impressive this tournament and has far less wear and tear entering this match. Krejcikova has also had success against Ostapenko, even if she doesn’t have the edge H2H.
I lean Krejcikova in this match.