The New Mexico State Aggies and New Mexico Lobos meet Saturday in week 3 college football action at University Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies look for a statement road win to get back to a .500 record. New Mexico State has lost 5 of its last 7 road games. Diego Pavia is completing 64.7 percent of his passes for 715 yards, 6 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Jonathan Brady and Trent Hudson have combined for 257 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Jordin Parker has 2 receptions. The New Mexico State Aggies ground game is averaging 217.7 yards per contest, and Monte Watkins leads the way with 161 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico State is allowing 31.7 points and 398.3 yards per game. J.J. Dervil leads the New Mexico State Aggies with 17 tackles, Nikhil Webb Walker has 1.5 sacks and Reggie Akles has 2 pass deflections.

New Mexico State Aggies Team Facts

• New Mexico State has lost each of its last eight road games in September.
• New Mexico State has covered the spread in each of its last six road games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
• New Mexico State has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
• New Mexico State has lost the first half in each of its last four road games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference.
• Each of New Mexico State’s last four road games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference have gone OVER the total points line.

New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview

The New Mexico Lobos look for back to back wins to get above a .500 record. New Mexico has lost 4 of its last 6 home games. Dylan Hopkins is completing 68.3 percent of his passes for 388 yards, 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Duece Jones and Luke Wysong have combined for 152 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while D.J. Washington has 6 receptions. The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 193.5 yards per contest, and Jacory Croskey-Merritt leads the way with 212 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 31 points and 345.5 yards per game. Syaire Riley leads the New Mexico Lobos with 11 tackles, Kyler Drake has 1 sack and Zach Morris has 2 pass deflections.

New Mexico Lobos Team Facts

• New Mexico has won each of its last seven home games against non-conference opponents.
• The favorite has covered the spread in each of New Mexico’s last seven games.
• New Mexico has won the first quarter in each of its last three games against opponents from the Conference USA.
• New Mexico has won the first half in each of its last five home games against non-conference opponents.
• Each of New Mexico’s last five games against opponents from the Conference USA have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• New Mexico ranked T11th among FBS teams for Q2 points allowed per game last season (4.8).
• New Mexico was one of only 14 FBS teams to lose 3+ games when leading at HT last season.
• New Mexico State ranked T12th among FBS teams for Q3 win percentage last season (.615).
• New Mexico State ranked T21st among FBS teams for Q1 points allowed per game last season (3.9).

Randy’s Pick

I’m not running to the window to back either of these teams that have done a lot of losing over the years and have been shaky this season as well. With that said, New Mexico is at home and this is a rivalry game where the home team has won 5 of the last 7 meetings. New Mexico has also shown more consistency offensively, and that’s not ideal for a New Mexico State defense that’s 100th in total defense and 109th in scoring defense. The Aggies just haven’t been able to get off the field at all through 3 games. Give me the Lobos at home in this near pick em spot.