Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans prediction 9-24-23 NFL Picks
Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) vs Houston Texans (0-2)
2023-09-24 13:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Jacksonville Jaguars -9.5 -- Over/Under: 43.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Texans and the Jacksonville Jaguars meet in week 3 NFL action from EverBank Stadium on Sunday afternoon.
Texans Fall To 0-2
The Houston Texans will be eager to snag their first wins of the season after narrowly falling to 0-2 thanks to a 31-20 loss to Indianapolis last time out. C.J. Stroud has thrown for 626 yards and 2 touchdowns on 63.7% passing while Dameon Pierce leads the Texans in rushing with 69 rushing yards. Nico Collins leads Houston’s receiving group with 13 grabs for 226 yards while Robert Woods and Tank Dell each have 100+ receiving yards for the Texans as well this season. On defense, Denzel Perryman leads the Texans with 19 total tackles while Houston’s defense as a whole has 4 sacks and an interception this season.
Houston Texans Team Facts
The Texans have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against AFC South opponents.
The Texans have covered the spread in each of their last five road games against AFC South opponents.
The Texans have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five road games against AFC South opponents.
The Texans have won the first quarter in three of their last four games as heavy underdogs (>+7.0 points).
The Texans have won the first half in two of their last three games as heavy underdogs (>+7.0 points).
Houston Texans Player Prop Facts
Dameon Pierce has scored a touchdown in each of his last two appearances with the Texans as underdogs against AFC South opponents.
Jalen Pitre ranked T5th in the NFL in Interceptions (5) last season
Jaguars Fall Short Vs. Chiefs
The Jacksonville Jaguars had a chance to start 2-0, but fell short against a familiar foe in the Kansas City Chiefs as KC edged out Jacksonville 17-9, with the Jags falling to 1-1 as a result. Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 457 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception on 63% passing while Travis Etienne Jr. has 117 rushing yards and a touchdown this season. Calvin Ridley leads the Jags’ receiving group with 133 receiving yards and a touchdown on his 10 catches while Christian Kirk has a team-high 12 grabs for 119 yards and Evan Engram has 106 receiving yards as well. On defense, Foyesade Oluokun has a team-high 23 total tackles while Josh Allen recorded 3 of the Jags’ 5 sacks on the year and Jacksonville has a pair of interception this season.
Jacksonville Jaguars Team Facts
The underdogs have won five of the Jaguars’ last six Week 3 games.
The underdogs have covered the spread in 10 of the Jaguars’ last 11 games at EverBank Stadium.
The Jaguars have lost the first half in 12 of their last 13 games at EverBank Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
The Jaguars have lost the first quarter in 11 of their last 13 games at EverBank Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
Each of the Jaguars’ last five home games in September have gone UNDER the total points line.
Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts
Travis Etienne has scored a touchdown in each of the Jaguars’ last four Sunday games as favorites.
Travis Etienne was one of only six players in the NFL to record 100+ rushing yards in three or more consecutive games last season
Matchup/League Facts
The Jaguars ranked 1st in the AFC South for points scored per game last season (23.8)
The Jaguars ranked 1st in the AFC South for points allowed per game last season (20.6)
The Texans ranked 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (170.2) last season
The Texans ranked 31st in the NFL in yards per game (283.5) last season
Chris’ Pick
I’m leaning towards Jacksonville right now, the only concern is having to lay double-digits with Jacksonville. The Jags are a solid unit, but right now I have my trepidations with the Jaguars defense and pass rush, but for now I have to roll with the Jags as betting on Houston is simply not an option right now.