Buffalo vs Central Michigan Prediction Football Picks 10-7-23
Buffalo Bulls (1-4) vs Central Michigan Chippewas (3-2)
2023-10-07 14:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Buffalo Bulls +3 -- Over/Under: 53.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Central Michigan Chippewas and the Buffalo Bulls meet in week 6 college football action from UB Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
Chippewas Win Back-To-Back Games
The Central Michigan Chippewas come into this one winners of back-to-back games, boasting a 3-2 record after a 26-23 win over Eastern Michigan last time out. Jase Bauer has thrown for 599 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception on 60% passing while Myles Bailey has a team-high 305 rushing yards with 2 TDs. Jesse Prewitt III has a team-high 16 receptions for 257 yards and 2 touchdowns while Chris Parker has 217 receiving yards and 2 scores as well. Another pair of Chippewa receivers have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Kyle Moretti has a team-high 46 total tackles with a pair of sacks while Jacques Bristol and Quindario Lee each have a pair of sacks as well this season.
Central Michigan Chippewas Team Facts
Central Michigan has lost three of its last four October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
Central Michigan has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six October games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
Each of Central Michigan’s last four October road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Bulls Get First Win
The Buffalo Bulls got their first win of the season to improve to 1-4 on the year after a 13-10 OT win over Akron last time out. Cole Snyder has thrown for 1,075 yards, 11 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 60.5% passing while Mike Washington has a team-high 234 rushing yards with 2 touchdowns and Ron Cook Jr. has 230 rushing yards with 2 scores as well. Marlyn Johnson leads Buffalo with 208 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns while four other Bulls have at least 100 receiving yards, including Cole Harrity who has a team-high 21 receptions this season. On defense, Shaun Dolac, Devin Grant and Joe Andreessen each have a team-high 31 total tackles while Max Michel has a team-high 3.5 sacks and Charles McCartherens has a pair of interceptions.
Buffalo Bulls Team Facts
Buffalo has won six of its last seven games in October.
The underdog has covered the spread in seven of Buffalo’s last eight games.
Each of Buffalo’s last five games after coming off overtime have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
Buffalo ranked 11th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game last season (11.9).
Buffalo ranked T12th among FBS teams for Q2 win percentage last season (.692).
Central Michigan ranked T24th among FBS teams for Q3 points allowed per game last season (4.0).
Central Michigan was one of only 27 FBS teams to lose 2+ games when leading after Q3 last season.
Chris’ Pick
I’m backing Central Michigan here. Am I comfortable laying points on the road with Central Michigan? No, but the Chips have at least shown they can put up points in bunches on teams at or below their level and they even have that upset win over South Alabama on their resume. Buffalo’s been getting shellacked all season long on defense, and a narrow OT win over an equally poor Akron team doesn’t move the needle for me there. Give me Central Michigan in this one.