The Washington Commanders and the Atlanta Falcons meet in week 6 NFL action from Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

Commanders Lose 3rd Straight

The Washington Commanders come into this one on the heels of their 3rd straight loss, falling to 2-3 on the year after a 40-20 loss to Chicago last time out. Sam Howell has thrown for 1,349 yards, 6 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 68.6% passing while Brian Robinson Jr. has 271 rushing yards and 3 TDs. Terry McLaurin has a team-high 25 receptions for 261 yards while Curtis Samuel has 243 receiving yards and a touchdown. Three more Commanders have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Cody Barton has a team-high 45 total tackles while Kamren Curl has 44 total tackles. Montez Sweat leads Washington with 4.5 sacks while Jonathan Allen and Chase Young each have 3 sacks this season.

Washington Commanders Team Facts

The Commanders have lost each of their last eight October games as road underdogs against NFC opponents.
The road team has covered the spread in each of the Commanders’ last five games.
The Commanders have won the first quarter in three of their last four Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
The Commanders have won the first half in seven of their last eight Week 6 games.
The Commanders have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six Sunday road games.

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

Sam Howell has recorded 290+ passing yards in three of the Commanders’ last four games.
Antonio Gibson has recorded 19+ rushing yards in 23 of his 24 previous appearances with the Commanders as underdogs against NFC opponents.
Jahan Dotson has scored a touchdown in five of his six previous road appearances against NFC opponents.
Terry McLaurin has recorded 62+ receiving yards in each of the Commanders’ last six road games played on the East Coast.
Antonio Gibson has recorded 41+ rushing and receiving yards in 19 of his 20 previous Sunday road appearances.
Sam Howell has recorded 27+ completions in three of the Commanders’ last four games.
Chase Young ranks T2nd in the NFL in quarterback hurries (8) this season.

Falcons Bounce Back

The Atlanta Falcons come into this one on the heels of a 21-19 win over Houston last time out to get to 3-2 on the year. Desmond Ridder has thrown for 1,073 yards, 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 65.4% passing while Bijan Robinson has a team-high 364 rushing yards and Tyler Allgeier has 191 rushing yards and 2 TDs. Jonnu Smith leads the Falcons with 21 receptions for 246 yards while Kyle Pitts and Drake London each have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Jessie Bates III and Kaden Elliss each have 35 total tackles with Bates III logging 3 interceptions.

Atlanta Falcons Team Facts

The favorites have won each of the Falcons’ last 12 games.
The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six October games as favorites against NFC opponents.
The Falcons have lost the first quarter in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
The Falcons have won the first half in seven of their last eight October games against NFC opponents.
The Falcons have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last 10 Sunday games as favorites.

Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts

Cordarrelle Patterson has scored the first touchdown in three of his four previous October appearances at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Cordarrelle Patterson has scored the last touchdown in each of his last three appearances against NFC opponents.
Cordarrelle Patterson has scored a touchdown in four of his last five appearances with the Falcons as home favorites against NFC opponents.
Desmond Ridder has recorded 191+ passing yards in each of the Falcons’ last four Sunday games.
Tyler Allgeier has recorded 39+ rushing yards in each of the Falcons’ last 13 Sunday games played on the East Coast.
Mack Hollins has recorded 29+ receiving yards in each of his last six Sunday home appearances.
Desmond Ridder has recorded 19+ completions in seven of the Falcons’ last eight games.
Jessie Bates III ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Falcons rank T31st in the NFL in sacks this season (5.0).
The Falcons rank T2nd in the NFL in H2 win percentage this season (80.0).
The Commanders rank 32nd in the NFL in Q1 opponent points per game this season (8.8).
The Commanders rank 31st in the NFL in points allowed per game this season (32.0).

Chris’ Pick

I’m sticking with Atlanta here. The Falcons got back on track last week, but the defense has actually been solid for the Falcons. The same can’t be said for Washington, who has been giving up points left and right and last week against Chicago might’ve been the worst of the worst. This could be the perfect spot for an offensive breakout from Atlanta, so give me the Falcons here.