The Arkansas State Red Wolves and South Alabama Jaguars meet Saturday in week 11 college football action at Hancock Whitney Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview 

The Arkansas State Red Wolves look to stay hot after winning 5 of their last 7 games. Arkansas State has split its last 4 road games. Jaylen Raynor is completing 59.3 percent of his passes for 1,648 yards, 13 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Courtney Jackson and Corey Rucker have combined for 923 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Jeff Foreman has 17 receptions. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ground game is averaging 152.9 yards per contest, and Ja’Quez Cross leads the way with 470 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 31.9 points and 441.1 yards per game. Javante Mackey leads the Arkansas State Red Wolves with 69 tackles, Keyron Crawford has 4.5 sacks and Eddie Smith has 2 interceptions.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Team Facts

• Arkansas State has lost 13 of its last 15 road games against conference opponents.
• Arkansas State has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Seven of Arkansas State’s last eight November games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

South Alabama Jaguars Betting Preview 

The South Alabama Jaguars look for a win after splitting their last 8 games. South Alabama has split its last 4 home games. Carter Bentley is completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 2,156 yards, 13 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Caullin Lacy and Jamaal Pritchett have combined for 1,646 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Lincoln Sefcik has 17 receptions. The South Alabama Jaguars ground game is averaging 160.8 yards per contest, and La’Damian Webb leads the way with 727 yards and 14 touchdowns. Defensively, South Alabama is allowing 21.9 points and 326.1 yards per game. Quentin Wilfawn leads the South Alabama Jaguars with 61 tackles, Brock Higdon has 3 sacks and Jaden Voisin has 2 interceptions.

South Alabama Jaguars Team Facts

• South Alabama has won each of its last four games against Arkansas State.
• South Alabama has covered the spread in each of its last four games against Arkansas State.
• South Alabama has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents.
• Three of South Alabama’s last four games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Arkansas State has suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 30+ points of any FBS team this season (2).

Randy’s Pick

You can argue the Arkansas State Red Wolves are in better form, but I don’t trust teams that can’t defend, especially on the road. Despite the wins, Arkansas State is 125th in total defense and 112th in scoring defense. The line is what it is for a reason. The South Alabama Jaguars are a well-balanced team that’s due for a bounce back performance, and their top-40 offense should have a field day. Arkansas State plays no defense. Give me South Alabama and the chalk.