Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 9-11-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 11th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 64-80 this year and they have split their last four games. Washington dropped the first game in this series and allowed 12 runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Nationals split four games with the Pirates, split two games with the Marlins, and lost all three against the Cubs. Washington is 3-7 in their last 10 games and they are fourth in the NL East. 

The Washington pitching staff has a 4.37 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .262 opponent batting average. The Nationals’ offense has scored 604 runs with a .244 batting average and a .311 on-base percentage. CJ Abrams is batting .237 with 19 home runs and 64 RBI’s for the Nationals this season.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 79-66 this season and they have alternated wins and losses over their last seven games. Atlanta won game one in this series by a score of 12-0 on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Braves lost a makeup game against the Reds, won two out of three against the Blue Jays, and won two out of three against the Rockies. Atlanta is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are tied for second in the NL East. 

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 622 runs with a .241 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .305 with 37 home runs and 98 RBI’s for the Braves this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jake Irvin, who is 9-12 with a 4.28 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 166.0 innings pitched this year. Irvin has allowed 13 earned runs in his last two starts (9.2 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Max Fried, who is 9-8 with a 3.35 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 147.2 innings pitched this season. Fried has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Braves will beat the Nationals

• The Nationals have lost each of their last 10 night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have won five of their last six night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 road games.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Wednesday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eleven of the Braves’ last 12 games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Nationals’ last 10 night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last 10 road games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last six games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Keibert Ruiz has hit at least one home run in four of his last 10 appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Ildemaro Vargas has recorded an RBI in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Keibert Ruiz has scored at least one run in six of the Nationals’ last seven games against NL East opponents.
• Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 Wednesday appearances at Nationals Park.
• Luis Garcia has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six home appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
• Luis Garcia has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Max Fried has recorded a win in each of his five previous appearances at Nationals Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Matt Olson has scored at least one run in seven of the Braves’ last eight road games.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last eight games as road favorites.
• Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Sean Murphy has hit a home run in each of his last three road appearances with the Braves against NL opponents.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in each of his last three road appearances against NL opponents.
• Sean Murphy has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents.
• Travis d’Arnaud has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven appearances with the Braves as road favorites.

Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 

Atlanta was able to get a blowout win in game one of this series on Tuesday and they are locked into a battle for the last wild card spot in the NL. The Braves are 39-35 on the road this season, while the Nationals are 32-38 at home. Washington is starting Jake Irvin, who has been awful in his last two starts. Atlanta is going with Max Fried, who has been up and down, but has pitched well recently. Atlanta has way more to play for and Irvin has been a mess recently, so take the Braves to win by at least two runs.