Tulsa vs UTSA Prediction 10-26-24 College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Tulsa vs UTSA prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 26th at Chapman Stadium in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 9 matchup. 

Tulsa Golden Hurricane Betting Preview

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane are 2-5 (0-3) this year after they lost to Temple by a score of 20-10 in their last game. Tulsa trailed 17-0 at the half, but they did cut the deficit to 17-10 in the third before Temple added a field goal to pull away. The Golden Hurricane were out gained by a total of 397-240, lost the turnover battle 2-1, and went 2-11 on third down in the game. Kirk Francis threw for 148 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Anthony Watkins caught three passes for 73 yards and one score. 

Tulsa also has losses against Arkansas State, Oklahoma State, North Texas, and Army, but they do have wins over Northwestern State and Louisiana Tech. The Tulsa offense has scored 22.3 points per game with 203.1 passing yards and 167.1 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 34.6 points per game this season. The Golden Hurricane have gone 38.7% on third down and 4-15 on fourth down so far this season. Kirk Francis has completed 58.8% of his passes for 1,212 yards, seven touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Kamdyn Benjamin has caught 42 passes for 500 yards and two scores. 

UTSA Roadrunners Betting Preview

The UTSA Roadrunners are 3-4 (1-2) this season after they defeated FAU by a score of 38-24 in their last game. UTSA was tied at 17 at halftime and tied at 24 in the fourth, but they scored the last 14 points in the game for the win. The Roadrunners outgained FAU by a total of 485-203, lost the turnover battle 3-2, and went 12-20 on third down in the game. Owen McCown threw for 340 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Brandon High Jr. rushed for 65 yards and one score. 

UTSA also has wins over Kennesaw State and Houston Christian, while picking up losses against Texas State, Texas, ECU, and Rice. The UTSA offense has scored 25 points per game with 267.6 passing yards and 144 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 30.1 points per game this season. The Roadrunners have gone 39.5% on third down and 7-16 on fourth down through seven games. Owen McCown has completed 61.5% of his passes for 1,650 yards, 12 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Willie McCoy has caught 17 passes for 342 yards and two scores. 

Why Tulsa will cover

• The home team has won each of UTSA’s last seven games.
• UTSA has lost each of its last four road games.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of UTSA’s last six games.
• UTSA has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four road games.

Total Points Facts

• Four of UTSA’s last five road games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Three of Tulsa’s last four home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Tulsa ranks 133rd among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (10.4).
• Tulsa ranks 130th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (26.7).
• UTSA ranks 125th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-5.0).
• UTSA ranks 11th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (96.0).

Tulsa vs UTSA Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup below .500 so far this season, but UTSA is coming off a win in their last game. The Roadrunners have scored at least 27 points in three of their last four games, while Tulsa has allowed 45+ points in three of their last five. The Golden Hurricanes have really struggled this season, but I am not comfortable laying this many points on the road with a below-average team. Take Tulsa with the points at home.