Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions Prediction 11-10-24 NFL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, November 10th at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week ten matchup.

Houston Texans Betting Preview

The Houston Texans are 6-3 this year after they lost to the Jets by a score of 21-13 in their last game. Houston led 10-7 heading into the fourth quarter, but they allowed 14 points in the final quarter for the loss. The Texans out gained New York by a total of 322-293, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 6-17 on third down in the game. CJ Stroud threw for 191 yards on 11 completions, while Joe Mixon rushed for 106 yards and one score on 24 carries. 

Prior to that loss, the Texans defeated the Colts by a score of 23-20, but did lose to Green Bay by a score of 24-22 before that. The Houston offense has scored 22.3 points per game with 221.7 passing yards and 126.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.2 points against per game this season. CJ Stroud has completed 63.5% of his passes for 2,139 yards, 11 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Tank Dell has caught 30 passes for 355 yards and two scores. 

Detroit Lions Betting Preview

The Detroit Lions are 7-1 this season after they defeated Green Bay by a score of 24-14 last week. Detroit trailed 3-0 after the first quarter, but they scored the next 24 points to pull away for the win. The Lions were out gained by a total of 411-261, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 4-12 on third down in the win. Jared Goff threw for 145 yards and one touchdown, while Jahmyr Gibbs rushed for 65 yards and one score. 

Prior to that game, the Lions won five games against Tennessee, Minnesota, Dallas, Seattle, and Arizona. The Detroit offense has scored 32.3 points per game with 217 passing yards and 152.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 18.5 points against per game this season. Jared Goff has completed 74.9% of his passes for 1,840 yards, 14 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Amon-Ra St. Brown has caught 48 passes for 464 yards and six scores. 

Why the Lions will beat the Texans

• The Texans have lost each of their last seven games against NFC opponents on a winning streak.
• The Lions have won each of their last six games.
• The Lions have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Texans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games in November.
• The Lions have won the first half in each of their last nine games as road favorites.
• The Texans have lost the first quarter in each of their last seven games in November.
• The Lions have scored the first touchdown in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the last nine Sunday games at NRG Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of the Texans’ last nine Sunday games at NRG Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Lions’ last eight games as favorites following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.

Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

• C.J. Stroud has recorded 260+ passing yards in nine of his last 10 home appearances.
• Joe Mixon has recorded 102+ rushing yards in each of the Texans’ last four games.
• Joe Mixon has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his last eight Sunday appearances.
• Stefon Diggs has recorded 66+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his eight previous November appearances against NFC North opponents.
• Stefon Diggs has recorded 66+ receiving yards in each of his eight previous November appearances against NFC North opponents.
• C.J. Stroud has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his four previous appearances with the Texans as home underdogs.
• C.J. Stroud has recorded 23+ completions in eight of his last nine regular season home appearances.
• Desmond King II is just one away from 10 career interceptions.

Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts

• David Montgomery has scored the first touchdown in four of the Lions’ last five games as favorites.
• Kalif Raymond has recorded 20+ receiving yards in each of the Lions’ last six road games against AFC opponents.
• Amon-Ra St. Brown has scored a touchdown in each of the Lions’ last six regular season road games.
• Jared Goff has recorded 215+ passing yards in each of the Lions’ last six road games against AFC opponents.
• David Montgomery has recorded 67+ rushing yards in each of his last six November appearances.
• David Montgomery has recorded 69+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Lions’ last seven Sunday road games.
• Jared Goff has thrown three or more touchdowns in three of his last four appearances against AFC South opponents.
• Jared Goff has recorded 22+ completions in nine of the Lions’ last 10 games against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 10, Kerby Joseph ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (6) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 10, the Texans rank 1st in the NFL in H1 win percentage (88.9) this season.
• Heading into Week 10, the Texans rank 2nd in the NFL in yards allowed per game (281.7) this season.
• Heading into Week 10, the Lions rank 1st in the NFL in points per game (32.3) this season.
• Heading into Week 10, the Lions rank 1st in the NFL in average kickoff return (34.9 yards) this season.

Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions Prediction 

Detroit comes into this game as one of the hottest teams in the NFL, as they have won six games in a row, and they are 4-0 on the road. Houston has dropped two of their last three games, but they are 4-0 at home this year. The Texans will definitely be without Diggs for this game, and Collins may or may not be activated from IR, so the wide receiver position will be thin once again. The Lions defense does have some question marks, but their offense is fantastic on the ground and through the air. I do think Houston will be able to move the ball in this matchup, but I am not going against this Lions team. Take Detroit on the road.