Capitals vs Red Wings Prediction 3/7/25 NHL Picks Today

The Detroit Red Wings and the Washington Capitals meet Friday in NHL action from the Capital One Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Capitals vs Red Wings Prediction.

Matchup History

The Detroit Red Wings won the first meeting between these two teams back on December 29^th, 2024, in Detroit by a final score of 4-2, snapping the run of back-to-back wins for Washington in this head-to-head matchup going back to last year.

Detroit Red Wings Recap

The Detroit Red Wings come into this game looking to shake off a 4-2 loss at the hands of Utah last time out to slip to 30-26-6 on the year. After this game, Detroit will head on the road again to take on the Ottawa Senators.

Red Wings Drop 4^th In A Row

Entering the game against Utah, Lucas Raymond has a team-high 63 points including 22 goals and 41 assists while Alex DeBrincat has 53 points with 29 goals and 24 assists. Dylan Larkin has 53 points with 24 goals while Moritz Seider has 36 points with 31 assists. Patrick Kane also has 38 points with 15 goals and 23 assists so far this season. In goal for Detroit, Cam Talbot is 17-13-3 and has a 2.92 GAA with a .903 save percentage while Alex Lyon is 11-7-1 with a 2.71 GAA and a .903 save percentage as well on the year.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Red Wings have won each of their last five games as road underdogs.
• The Capitals have lost four of their last five games as home favorites.
• The Red Wings have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs following a home loss.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Alex DeBrincat has scored at least one goal in each of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against the Capitals.
• Patrick Kane has recorded at least one point in each of his last 11 appearances against the Capitals.
• Andrew Copp has recorded an assist in five of his last six appearances with the Red Wings as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Moritz Seider ranks 1st in the Atlantic Division for average time on ice (25:13) this season.

Washington Capitals Recap

The Washington Capitals will be out to add on to their 3-2 OT win over the New York Rangers last time out to improve to 40-14-8 on the year. After this game, Washington will meet the Kraken and Ducks.

Capitals Win Back-To-Back Games

Dylan Strome leads the Capitals with 61 points including 18 goals and a team-high 43 assists while Alex Ovechkin has 49 points with 32 goals and 17 assists and Connor McMichael’s added 47 points with 22 goals and 25 assists. Aliaksei Protas has 51 points with 23 goals and 28 assists while Tom Wilson has 49 points and John Carlson has 39 points with Wilson logging 27 goals and 20 assists and Carlson adding 35 assists. Pierre-Luc Dubois also has 53 points with 37 assists of his own. Jakob Chychrun has 39 points with 17 goals and 22 assists as well on the year. In goal for Washington, Logan Thompson has gone 26-4-5 with a 2.32 GAA and a .918 save percentage while Charlie Lindgren is 14-10-3 with a 2.66 GAA and an .897 save percentage this season.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Capitals have won 13 of their last 15 games after coming off overtime.
• The Red Wings have lost each of their last four games.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games against Eastern Conference opponents after coming off overtime.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Pierre-Luc Dubois has scored a goal in five of the Capitals’ last six games as home favorites.
• Jakob Chychrun has recorded at least one point in 13 of the Capitals’ last 14 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Nicklas Backstrom has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances with the Capitals as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Aliaksei Protas ranks 2nd in the Metropolitan Division for Plus/Minus (+30) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Capitals’ last eight home games following an overtime win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Red Wings’ last five games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back has gone UNDER the total goals line.

Capitals vs Red Wings Prediction

I’m on the Capitals in this game. It’s a hefty price, but the Capitals for me here are clearly, heads and shoulders the better team in this matchup. The Capitals have been so balanced home and away this season, the venue changes, but the quality of play stays the same. The Red Wings just can’t get out of their own way right now, and I think the Capitals hit the Red Wings hard in this matchup and Detroit struggles once again here. Give me the Capitals to extend Detroit’s misery for another day.