Mets vs Phillies Prediction 4/22/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Phillies Prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 22nd, at Citi Field.  Let’s take a look at a New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies pick. 

Phillies Fell Just Short

The Phillies sure put up quite the fight late scoring four runs, but it was too little too late as they ended up losing by a run. Bryson Stott did have a strong game, hitting a home run, but the offense needs to find a way to get going earlier. Kyle Schwarber has hit seven home runs and driven in 16 RBIs so far this season. 

The Phillies are averaging 4.68 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.59 runs per game. The offense is ranked 7th while the pitching is ranked 20th. Kyle Schwarber has hit seven home runs and driven in 16 RBIs. Cristopher Sanchez is going to get the start for the Phillies and he sis with a 2-0 record and an ERA of 2.96. Against the San Francisco Giants in his last start he went seven innings giving up four hits and three runs. 

Why the Phillies Will Beat the Mets

• The favorites have won 10 of the Mets’ last 11 games at Citi Field.
• The Mets have lost eight of their last nine Tuesday night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games following a home win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six games as favorites following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last eight games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eleven of the Mets’ last 12 games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six Tuesday night games at Citi Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Mets’ last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Strong Start for the Mets

It has been quite the strong start to the season for the Mets and it was another win on Monday. The bullpen has some thing to clean up and they can’t assume they can blow it again like they did on Monday, or this game will be a loss. The Mets have won five games in a row an overall it’s been the pitching that they have leaned on, much like they have all season. 

The Mets are averaging 4.14 runs while their pitching is giving up 2.77 runs per game. The offense is ranked 20th while the pitching is ranked top in all of baseball. Pete Alonso has hit six home runs and driven in 24 RBIs. Getting the start for the Mets will be Griffin Canning who sits with a 2-1 record and an ERA of 3.43. Against the St Louis  Cardinals in his last start he went six innings giving up three hits and one run. 

Mets vs Phillies Prediction

Sanchez sits with a 2-0 record and he’s been good. Now he gets to face off against a Mets offense that is ranked 20th in the league and New York is going to really struggle to get the offense going here. Ganning was also strong in his last start against St Louis and I believe ht’s going to have another strong start here. This game is going to be a good old-fashioned pitchers duel and this game will end up under the total. The under is 5-1 in the Phillies last six road games. This is a strong play.