Baltimore Orioles (16-32) vs. Boston Red Sox (25-26)
May 23, 2025 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -130 / Baltimore Orioles 110; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 23, at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles (16-32, 8-17 Away) faced their toughest stretch of the season, suffering eight consecutive defeats. After being swept by both the Twins and Nationals, the Orioles avoided a sweep against the Milwaukee Brewers by winning Game 3 with a score of 8-4 in extra innings. Adley Rutschman led the offensive efforts with three RBI, while Tomoyuki Sugano threw for 6.0 innings, resulting in a no-decision, giving up two runs on five hits, with three strikeouts and one walk. Bryan Baker received the win.
This season, the Orioles average 3.72 runs per game (25th in the MLB) on a .230/.297/.386 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Orioles’ staff has a 5.53 ERA (28th) and 1.49 WHIP (28th). Cedric Mullins leads the Orioles with a .236 batting average, ten home runs, and 31 RBI this season.
At the time of this writing, the Orioles have yet to announce their starting pitcher for Game 2 of this doubleheader against the Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox (25-26, 14-12 at Home) were defeated in a series sweep by the Detroit Tigers and subsequently lost their series against the Atlanta Braves. However, they managed to secure a victory against the New York Mets in a three-game series held at home. Unfortunately, the Red Sox could not achieve a sweep, as the Mets triumphed with a 5-1 win in Game 3. Garrett Crochet pitched for 5.1 innings without a decision, giving up one run on five hits, while recording five strikeouts and one walk. The loss was attributed to Liam Hendriks.
This year, the Red Sox average 4.78 runs per game (8th in the MLB) on a .253/.325/.423 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Red Sox’s staff has a 4.01 ERA (17th) and 1.33 WHIP (21st). Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with a .287 batting average, ten home runs, and 39 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox is Lucas Giolito, who is 1-1 in four starts this season, with a 7.08 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 20.1 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Orioles’ last eight games following an extra innings win have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Red Sox’s last five home games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last four road games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Red Sox’s last five games as home favorites.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (450).
- The Red Sox are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (5.45).
- The Orioles rank 27th in the league for walks this season (134).
Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction
The Red Sox won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last four. This season, the two teams have already met, with Boston winning two out of three encounters, and two of those games went Over the total. Additionally, seven of Baltimore’s last ten games have gone Over, and I am supporting another Over on Friday. I lack faith in Giolito and foresee both offenses scoring more than three runs in the initial five innings. Giolito has given up 13 runs in his last three outings. The Orioles’ starting pitcher is expected to face challenges on the mound, likely leading to a bullpen game for them. I suggest going with the Over.
