Braves vs Orioles Prediction 7/6/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 6, at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles (39-49, 20-27 Away) lost to the Texas Rangers twice in ten days, while they beat the Tampa Bay Rays in between those series. The Orioles will win the current series against the Braves after beating them 3-2 on Friday and 9-6 in extra innings on Saturday. Jordan Westburg, Jacob Stallings, and Colton Cowser led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Dean Kremer pitched for 4.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing five runs on eight hits with three strikeouts and one walk. Felix Bautista was credited with the win.

This season, the Orioles average 4.14 runs per game (20th in the MLB) on a .240/.305/.399 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Orioles’ staff has a 4.98 ERA (27th) and 1.42 WHIP (27th). Cedric Mullins leads the Orioles with a .217 batting average, 13 home runs, and 41 RBI this season.

Trevor Rogers will take the mound for the Orioles on Sunday. The 27-year-old left-hander has a 1-0 record in four starts this year with a 2.05 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in 22.0 innings.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves (39-49, 24-21 Home) are without a win in four series in a row and will add another loss following two defeats to the Orioles in this series. Prior to it, Atlanta lost to the Miami Marlins, earned a split with the New York Mets, and lost to the Philadelphia Phillies and Los Angeles Angels. In Saturday’s 9-6 defeat to the O’s, Austin Riley led the offense with three RBI, while Aaron Bummer pitched for 2.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on two hits with five strikeouts and one walk. Rafael Montero took the loss.

This year, the Braves average 4.02 runs per game (24th in the MLB) on a .243/.318/.380 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.75 ERA (9th) and 1.23 WHIP (10th). Matt Olson leads the Braves with a .271 batting average, 17 home runs, and 58 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Braves is Grant Holmes, who is 4-7 in 17 starts this season, with a 3.47 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 96.0 innings.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last six home games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Orioles’ last 10 games following an extra innings win have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Orioles’ last eight day games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five day games against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 27th in the league for doubles this season (122).
• The Braves rank 5th in the league for hits allowed this season (679).
• The Orioles rank 28th in the league for walks this season (248).
• The Orioles rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (817).

Braves vs Orioles Prediction

The teams have traded victories in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. Six of the last ten H2H duels went Under (one Push), and I am going with another Under in this one. Trevor Rogers appeared in just four games this season as he was limited due to an injury, but he was excellent in those games, and I think he will keep the Braves in check in the opening five or six innings. Grant Holmes, on the other hand, shut the opponents out in two of his previous three starts and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in his last ten starts. Go with Under.