Mets vs Braves Prediction 7/27/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 27th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 44-62 this year after they lost two out of three against the Dodgers by scores of 2-4, 3-4, and 8-3. In game three, New York trailed 3-1 in the fourth inning, but they scored the last seven runs to get the win. The Mets recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Taylor, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs. Peralta allowed six hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Perez picked up the win in relief. Prior to that series, New York lost two out of three against the Brewers, but did win two out of three against the Phillies before that. 

This season, New York has a 4.19 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 432 runs with a .233 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Juan Soto (IL) has led the Mets with 21 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 10 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Zac Thornton, who is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP over 23.1 innings pitched this year. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 62-43 this season after they won two out of three against the Orioles by scores of 7-6, 2-3, and 3-2. In game three, Atlanta blew a 2-0 lead in the later innings, but they escaped with the win in the 11th. The Braves recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Smith, who went 3-5 with two RBIs. Lopez allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Kinley got the win in relief. Prior to that series, Atlanta won three out of four against the Padres and two out of three against the Rangers. 

This season, Atlanta has a 3.64 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 520 runs with a .249 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 27 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 20 home runs and 56 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Martin Perez, who is 6-6 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 85.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Braves have lost each of their last seven night games after going to extra innings.
• The Mets have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Braves’ last nine games.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three road night games.
• The Braves have lost the first inning in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against the Braves at Citi Field.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won 14 of their last 15 games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have lost each of their last four games following a win.
• The Braves have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against the Braves following a home win.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Braves’ last nine games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last four games as underdogs against the Braves have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Braves’ last nine games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight night games against National League opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Tyrone Taylor has hit a home run in two of the Mets’ last three games against the Braves.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in three of the Braves’ last four night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Martin Perez has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last seven road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 14 games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• Matt Olson ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (27) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (131).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (131).
• The Braves rank 4th in the league for home runs this season (139).
• The Braves rank 4th in the league for home runs this season (139).

Mets vs Braves Prediction 

Atlanta comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games, but their last two wins both came in extra innings. The Braves are 30-23 on the road this year, while the Mets are 22-30 at home. New York has dropped three of their last four games and they have scored three runs or fewer in all three of those losses. The Mets are starting Thornton, who has allowed one earned run in his last 19.0 innings, while Perez has allowed 0, 4, 4, 3, and 1 earned run in his last five starts. Take the Mets here.