Orioles vs Mets Prediction 7/10/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Orioles vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 10th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB doubleheader. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 53-39 this year after they won game one by a score of 7-6 in extra innings. New York trailed 6-2 in the seventh inning, but they tied the game in the eighth and won in the 10th. The Mets recorded 11 hits in the game, and they were led by Lindor and Alonso, who both had two RBIs in the win. New York started Holmes, who allowed seven hits and five earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Diaz got the win and Brazoban picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Mets won two out of three against the Yankees and two out of three against the Brewers. New York has won five of their last six games, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 409 runs with a .246 batting average and a .325 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 21 home runs and 75 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 21 home runs and 52 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York in game one is David Peterson, who is 6-4 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 102.0 innings pitched this year. The projected starting pitcher for game two is TBD. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 40-50 this season after they lost game one by a score of 7-6 on Tuesday night. Baltimore led 1-0 and 6-2, but their bullpen fell apart, and they couldn’t score in the 10th for the loss. The Orioles recorded nine hits in the game, and they were led by Holliday, O’Hearn, and Laureano, who all had two RBIs in the loss. Baltimore started Young, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Cano picked up the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles swept the Braves in three games, but lost two out of three against the Rangers before that. Baltimore has won three of their last four games, and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.94 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .269 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 377 runs with a .239 batting average and a .305 on base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with 13 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Jackson Holliday has added 12 home runs and 38 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for game one is Charlie Morton, who is 5-7 with a 5.47 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP over 77.1 innings pitched. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore in game two is Tomoyuki Sugano, who is 6-5 with a 4.44 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 93.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Mets

• The Mets have lost seven of their last eight road games after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have won each of their last four night games against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Mets.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Mets will beat the Orioles

• The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents.
• The road team has won each of the Orioles’ last four games.
• The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day after going to extra innings.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games after going to extra innings.
• The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last nine games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the last nine games between the Mets and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last 10 night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last nine night games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Colton Cowser has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against NL East opponents.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
• Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in each of the Mets’ last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brett Baty has recorded at least one Double in three of the Mets’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.269).
• The Orioles rank 29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (126).
• The Mets rank 3rd in the league for home runs allowed this season (80).
• The Mets rank T27th in the league for walks allowed this season (336).

Orioles vs Mets Prediction 

New York was able to steal game one in this series with a crazy comeback on Tuesday, and they are battling the Phillies for first in the NL East. The Mets are 20-25 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 19-23 at home. In game one, I think the Mets have the advantage, as I still don’t trust Morton on the mound for Baltimore. In game two, Sugano has really struggled recently, and New York is most likely going to use a bullpen game, so give me the over.