Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 7-21-25 MLB Picks

The New York Yankees and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Monday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send out Carlos Rodon here, and Rodon is 10-6 with a 3.08 ERA and 135 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Toronto, Rodon is 2-2 with a 6.66 ERA and 28 strikeouts. Kevin Gausman will start this one for the Blue Jays and is 6-7 with a 4.19 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Yankees, Gausman is 0-2 with an 8.31 ERA and 20 strikeouts.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to build on their 4-2 win over the Atlanta Braves last time out to sit at 55-44 on the year. After this series, the Yankees will head back home for a series against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Yankees Win Back-To-Back Games

Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 128 hits, including 36 home runs, 82 RBIs, 24 doubles, and a .352 batting average, along with 6 stolen bases. Anthony Volpe also had 22 doubles with 10 stolen bases, 12 home runs, and 53 RBIs, while Jasson Dominguez has added 15 doubles of his own. Paul Goldschmidt has 99 hits with 23 doubles and a .289 batting average, while Volpe also has 94 strikeouts so far this season. Ben Rice also has 64 hits with 17 doubles, 14 home runs, and 31 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has 17 homers with 56 RBIs, and Austin Wells has 14 home runs and 54 RBIs, with Bellinger logging 18 doubles and Wells chipping in 15 doubles. Trent Grisham also has 17 home runs and 38 RBIs so far this season.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Blue Jays have lost three of their last four games against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against American League opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Rodon has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in five of the Yankees’ last seven night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to add on to their 8-6 win over the San Francisco Giants last time out to improve to 58-41 on the year. After this series, the Blue Jays will head on the road for a series against the Detroit Tigers.

Blue Jays Win Three In A Row

George Springer has 87 hits and Bo Bichette has 114 hits, with Springer adding 17 home runs, a triple, 17 doubles, and 54 RBIs while Bichette has 27 doubles, 12 home runs, and 55 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 46 hits with 7 doubles and 5 home runs, and 23 RBIs this season, along with 10 stolen bases. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also has 13 homers, 19 doubles and 48 RBIs, while Springer also has a .279 batting average and 71 strikeouts up to this point in the year. Addison Barger chipped in 22 doubles with 14 home runs and 42 RBIs, and Ernie Clement added 20 doubles as part of his 92 hits this season.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last eight games as underdogs.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last six games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last 12 night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances after playing the previous day.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one Double in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games against AL opponents.
• Daulton Varsho has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last 10 games between the Yankees and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last eight games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction

I’m on the Blue Jays here. I get the case to be made for the Yankees, who have a lot to gain from a good performance in this series. However, the Blue Jays have plenty to gain as well, as a good showing will go a long way and could be massive down the stretch in September. In what I think is a coin flip game, I think it comes down to the details, and I think Toronto has the far better bullpen. Give me Toronto to draw first blood here.