Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction 7/25/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 25^th at the Fenway Park in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Boston Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox have a 55-49 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL East. The Red Sox have a 32-20 home record and are 49-53 in over/under. They are coming off a 9-8 road victory over the Phillies which snapped their previous two-game losing streak. They are 7-2-1 to the under in their last 10 games and are playing the Twins and the Astros next.

The Red Sox have a .252 batting average this season, .322 OBP and .427 slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA and 1.29 WHIP.  Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with 105 hits, while Rafael Devers is the team’s best hitter, with a .272 batting average. Trevor Story leads the team in RBI, with 60, while Wilyer Abreu adds a team-high 20 home runs.

Brayan Bello (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox, and he has a 6-4 record, 3.23 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.

Los Angeles Dodgers Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 60-43 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the NL West. The Dodgers have a 25-22 road record and 55-46 in over/under. They are coming off 4-3 home victory over the Twins, and they are 2-4 in their last 6 games. Under is 5-3 in their last 8 games, and are playing the Reds and the Rays next.

The Dodgers have a .254 batting average this season, .329 OBP and .444 slugging percentage. LA’s pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA and 1.32 WHIP.  Sohei Ohtani leads the Dodgers with 108 hits, in RBI, with 70 and in home runs, with 27. Will Smith is the team’s best hitter with a .323 batting average.

Emmet Sheehan (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers, and he has a 1-1 record, 4.41 ERA and 1.35 WHIP.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last seven games at Fenway Park.
• The Dodgers have lost each of their last seven night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Friday games as favorites.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a road win.
• The Red Sox have won the first inning in each of their last three games as home underdogs.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home games against National League opponents.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last nine Friday night home games against National League opponents.
• The Dodgers have won each of their last eight Friday night games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Friday night home games against National League opponents.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost the first inning in eight of their last 10 games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the last eight games between the Dodgers and Red Sox have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Dodgers’ last five games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 games as underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last six games against AL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Red Sox rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (209).
• The Red Sox rank T2nd in the league for hits this season (902).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (546).

Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction

The Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 overall meetings against the Red Sox, and are 4-1 in their last 5 visits in Boston. Over is 7-1 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction, the Dodgers are coming as -120 road favorites. The Dodgers have 5 more wins than the Red Sox, but they have been just above average at home, while the Red Sox have been very strong at home. Bello has been a solid starter for the Red Sox, who also have a better bullpen, and I don’t trust Sheehan on the mound for the Dodgers. I like the Red Sox as a home dog in this spot, so take them here at plus money.