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Reds vs Rays Prediction 7-25-25 MLB Picks

Tampa Bay Rays (53-50) vs. Cincinnati Reds (53-50)
July 25, 2025 11:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -106 / Tampa Bay Rays -114; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Rays and Cincinnati Reds meet Friday in MLB action at Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Reds vs Rays Prediction. This article will include a Reds vs Rays Pick.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 53-50 on the year and play the Yankees, Dodgers, and Angels next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .258 on the season, have a .322 OBP, and a .406 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 113 hits and 60 RBI, while Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero have combined for 206 hits and 118 RBI.

Zack Littell gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 8-7 with a 3.53 ERA and 83 strikeouts this season. Littell is 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 53-50 on the year and play the Dodgers, Braves, and Cubs next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting .246 on the season, have a .319 OBP, and a .394 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 108 hits and 65 RBI while TJ Friedl and Spencer Steer have combined for 183 hits and 74 RBI.

Nick Martinez gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 8-9 with a 4.73 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. Martinez is 1-0 with a 6.20 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

  • The Reds have won six of their last seven games as home underdogs.
  • The Rays have lost seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Rays’ last five games.
  • The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Reds have won the first inning in five of their last six games against opponents that held a winning record at Great American Ball Park.
  • The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Rays have won each of their last eight road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Reds have lost 13 of their last 17 home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rays have covered the run line each of their last eight road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents following a road win.
  • The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against American League opponents.
  • The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents.
  • The Rays have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Austin Hays has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances against the Rays after not playing the previous day.
  • Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in five of the Reds’ last eight games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Austin Hays has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a home underdog.
  • Elly De La Cruz ranks T6th in the league in Steals (27) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Danny Jansen has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL Central opponents.
  • Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of the Rays’ last four games as favorites against the Reds.
  • Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in 22 of his last 23 appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Jose Caballero ranks T1st in the league in Steals (33) this season.

Reds vs Rays Prediction

The Rays remain a valuable team because they win enough, and they’re not a public team so you don’t get these inflated lines. Littell has been strong this season, and that includes allowing just eight earned runs in his last 29.2 innings. Martinez has been hittable all season, and that includes allowing 27 hits and 18 runs in his last 22 innings. Martinez is allowing a .262 batting average on the season. We’re getting a pick em price in this spot. Give me the Rays.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Rays -114

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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