Red Sox vs Dodgers Prediction 7-26-25 MLB Picks

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Boston Red Sox meet Saturday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Red Sox vs Dodgers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers will start Clayton Kershaw here and Kershaw is 4-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. This will be Kershaw’s first career start against the Red Sox. Garrett Crochet will get the nod for Boston here and is 11-4 with a 2.19 ERA and 165 strikeouts this season. This will be Crochet’s second career start against the Dodgers.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to add on to their 5-2 win over the Boston Red Sox last time out to sit at 61-43 on the year. After this series, the Dodgers will head on the road for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.

Dodgers Win Back-To-Back Games

Shohei Ohtani has 108 hits including 12 doubles, 37 home runs, 70 RBIs and 7 triples while Tommy Edman has 64 hits with 11 home runs and 41 RBIs. Michael Conforto has 51 hits with 13 doubles while Teoscar Hernandez has 79 hits with 14 home runs, 19 doubles and 58 RBIs as well this season. Ohtani has a team-high 13 stolen bases while Max Muncy has 10 doubles but also has 69 strikeouts so far this season. Mookie Betts has also chipped in 11 home runs and 45 RBIs as well on the year. Freddie Freeman has also logged 99 hits with a team-high 27 doubles, 10 home runs and 51 RBIs. Andy Pages also has 105 hits with 16 doubles, 19 home runs and 63 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost nine of their last 10 games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Clayton Kershaw has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Clayton Kershaw has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Shohei Ohtani has hit a home run in five of the Dodgers’ last six games.
• Teoscar Hernandez has recorded a Double in five of the Dodgers’ last six games as road underdogs.
• Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 22 appearances with his team as an underdog against AL opponents.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (37) this season.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to rebound from their loss against the Dodgers on Friday to slip to 55-50 this season. After this series, the Red Sox will head on the road for a series against the Minnesota Twins.

Red Sox Drop 5 Of Their Last 7

Alex Bregman has 65 hits including 18 doubles along with 12 home runs and 38 RBIs this season. Trevor Story’s added 97 hits with 15 home runs, 60 RBIs and 17 stolen bases while Jarren Duran has 105 hits with 25 doubles, 10 triples, 9 home runs, 52 RBIs and a team-high 16 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell’s added 51 hits with 10 doubles, 6 homers and 21 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 20 home runs with 55 RBIs and 5 stolen bases and Ceddanne Rafaela has 14 homers, 21 doubles, 2 triples, 48 RBIs and 14 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last eight home games after playing the previous day.
• The Dodgers have lost seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as road underdogs after playing the previous day.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 games as home favorites against NL opponents.
• Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Trevor Story has recorded a Double in each of the Red Sox’s last four home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Garrett Crochet ranks 1st in the league for total Strikeouts (165) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Dodgers’ last four road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Red Sox vs Dodgers Prediction

I’m on the Red Sox here. I got it wrong with the Red Sox on Friday, but I’d make a strong case that Crochet is the best of the bunch for Boston in this rotation. Furthermore, I think that he can have a strong outing here against a Dodger team that is loaded on paper, but hasn’t been all that strong against left-handed pitching. The Red Sox for me also have the superior bullpen right now, and with Kershaw getting up there in age, the outings have been getting fairly shorter, so I’ll roll with the Red Sox at home in this one.