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Brewers vs Mets Prediction 8/9/25 MLB Picks Today

NY Mets (63-53) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (71-44)
August 9, 2025 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -121 / NY Mets 100; Over/Under: 9
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In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 9, at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (63-53, 25-32 Away) are going through their worst period of the season after losing ten of the previous 11 games. The Mets have been swept by the Padres, lost to the Giants, and then were swept by the Guardians before falling short 3-2 in Game 1 against the Brewers. Kodai Senga took the loss after allowing three runs (one earned) on two hits with two strikeouts and three walks in 4.1 innings.

This year, the Mets average 4.36 runs per game (15th in the MLB) on a .239/.318/.404 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 3.67 ERA (6th) and 1.30 WHIP (21st). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .262 batting average, 25 home runs, and 91 RBI this season.

At the time of writing, the Mets haven’t announced the starter for this clash with the Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers (71-44, 37-20 Home) are on a seven-game winning streak after sweeping the Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves on the road and beating the Mets in Game 1 of the current series. Milwaukee scored three runs in the 5th inning, while Brice Turang led the offense with a two-run homer. Brandon Woodruff got the win after allowing two runs on three hits with eight strikeouts and two walks across 7.0 innings of work.

This season, the Brewers average 5.00 runs per game (4th in the MLB) on a .257/.330/.398 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Brewers’ staff has a 3.62 ERA (4th) and 1.24 WHIP (10th). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with a .260 batting average, 21 home runs, and 74 RBI this season.

Tobias Myers will take the mound for the Brewers on Saturday. The 27-year-old right-hander has a 1-1 record in five starts this year with a 4.30 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 23.0 innings.

Why the Brewers will beat the Mets

  • The Brewers have won each of their last 11 night games at American Family Field following a home win.
  • The Mets have lost each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games following a road loss.
  • The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Six of the Brewers’ last seven home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Mets’ last five games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mets’ last 11 games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.61).
  • The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (445).
  • The Mets rank T27th in the league for walks allowed this season (415).
  • The Mets rank 6th in the league for walks this season (401).

Brewers vs Mets Prediction

The teams have traded victories in the past few years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. This season, the series is tied at 2-2. I expect another tight affair, but I will go with the Brewers, who have been in a way better form than the Mets. While the Mets will turn to their bullpen, the Brewers are starting Tobias Myers, who should stay on the mound for three or four innings. If he keeps the Mets to a run or two, the Brewers’ chances to win will increase. Back Milwaukee.

Oliver Zivic's Free Pick: Brewers ML

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Oliver Zivic

Professional journalist and expert bettor with 20+ years of experience. I cover Football (soccer), NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, CFB, and CBB.

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