Mets vs Braves Prediction 8/14/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 14th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 64-56 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 13-5 and 6-11. In their game two loss, New York led 6-0 in the second inning, but they went scoreless over the final seven innings for the bad loss. The Mets recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Soto and Alonso, who both had two RBIs in the loss. New York started Peterson, who allowed five hits and six earned runs over 3.1 innings, while Garrett picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mets lost all three against the Brewers and all three against the Guardians. New York has lost eight of their last nine games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 532 runs with a .241 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 28 home runs and 98 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 29 home runs and 69 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Kodai Senga, who is 7-4 with a 2.30 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 94.0 innings pitched this year. The Mets currently sit in 2nd place in the National League East standings, above the Miami Marlins. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 52-68 this season after they won game two by a score of 11-6 on Wednesday night. Atlanta got off to a horrible start in the game, but they erupted for 11 runs between the fourth and sixth innings to steal the win. The Braves recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Harris II, who went 2-5 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Carrasco, who allowed six hits and six earned runs over 2.0 innings, while Bummer picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Braves won four out of five against the Marlins, but lost all three against the Brewers before that. Atlanta has won four of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 515 runs with a .242 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 19 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Marcell Ozuna has added 20 home runs and 59 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 4-9 with a 6.12 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP over 100.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Mets will beat the Braves

• The Mets have won each of their last 15 Thursday home games against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have lost nine of their last 10 night games following a win.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four home games against National League opponents.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road night games.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Braves will beat the Mets

• The Mets have lost each of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have won five of the Mets’ last six games at Citi Field.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five home games after playing the previous day.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last four games after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Braves’ last seven night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight home games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the Braves’ last 15 games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four night games.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 10 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Kodai Senga has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Kodai Senga has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 10 games as road underdogs.
• Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
• Jurickson Profar has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.

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Mets vs Braves Prediction 

New York looked like they were well on their way to a two game winning streak on Wednesday night, but their pitching fell apart in the middle innings. The Mets are 39-22 at home this year, while the Braves are just 22-38 on the road. Atlanta has won four of their last five games, but they are starting Elder, who has allowed 5, 2, and 8 earned runs in his last three starts. The Mets are going with Senga, who has allowed 1, 4, 3, and 4 earned runs in his last four outings. Both of these pitching staffs are beat up right now, so I like the over here.