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Buccaneers vs Jets Prediction 9/21/25 NFL Picks Today

NY Jets (0-2) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0)
September 21, 2025 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6; Over/Under: 44.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Jets and Tampa Bay Buccaneers meet Sunday in NFL action at Raymond James Stadium. Here’s a Buccaneers vs Jets Prediction. This article will include a Buccaneers vs Jets Pick.

New York Jets Betting Preview

The New York Jets lost to the Steelers and Bills, and play the Dolphins next. The New York Jets have lost 13 of their last 15 games. Justin Fields is completing 57.6 percent of his passes for 245 yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall have combined for 192 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Tyler Johnson has 2 receptions.

The New York Jets ground game is averaging 141 yards per contest, and Breece Hall leads the way with 136 yards on 29 carries. Defensively, New York is allowing 32 points and 337 yards per game. Jamien Sherwood leads the New York Jets with 19 tackles, Will McDonald IV has 2 sacks and Sauce Gardner has 3 pass deflections.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Falcons and Texans, and they play the Eagles next. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 8 of their last 9 regular season games. Baker Mayfield is completing 60 percent of his passes for 382 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Mike Evans and Emeka Egbuka have combined for 203 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Sterling Shepard has 7 receptions.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 135 yards per contest, and Bucky Irving leads the way with 108 yards on 31 carries. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 19.5 points and 312 yards per game. Tykee Smith leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 17 tackles, Greg Gaines has 1 sack and Jamel Dean has 3 pass deflections.

New York Jets @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends: Week 3

 

Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win

  • The Jets have lost each of their last 10 games against NFC South opponents.
  • The Buccaneers have won 15 of their last 16 home games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games against NFC opponents.
  • The Buccaneers have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The home team has won the first quarter in five of the Buccaneers’ last six games.
  • The favorites have won the first half in each of the Jets’ last six Week 3 games.
  • The Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in six of their last seven home games against AFC opponents.

Why the New York Jets will win

  • The Buccaneers have lost seven of their last eight Week 3 games as favorites.
  • The Jets have won each of their five previous games against the Buccaneers following a loss.
  • The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Week 3 home games.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of the Buccaneers’ last four games.
  • The Buccaneers have lost the first quarter in five of their last six September games as favorites.
  • The Buccaneers have lost the first half in each of their last six September home games against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of the Jets’ last 10 Week 3 games have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Five of the Buccaneers’ last six home games following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts

  • Cade Otton has recorded 32+ receiving yards in each of his last seven home appearances.
  • Rachaad White has recorded 12+ rushing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last 15 games against AFC opponents.
  • Rachaad White has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Buccaneers’ last five games against AFC opponents.
  • Baker Mayfield has recorded 235+ passing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last five games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
  • Rachaad White has recorded 60+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of the Buccaneers’ last nine games following a road win.
  • Baker Mayfield has recorded 22+ completions in six of the Buccaneers’ last seven games against AFC opponents.
  • Heading into Week 3, Emeka Egbuka ranks T1st in the NFL in touchdowns (3) this season.

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

  • Braelon Allen has recorded 26+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Jets’ last five road games.
  • Allen Lazard has recorded 23+ receiving yards in each of his last six September appearances with his team as a road underdog.
  • Justin Fields has recorded 47+ rushing yards in each of his last four September appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Justin Fields has scored a touchdown in three of his last four appearances against NFC South opponents.
  • Justin Fields has recorded 218+ passing yards in three of his last four September appearances.
  • Heading into Week 3, Justin Fields has recorded the equal-most rushing touchdowns in a single game this season (2 vs Steelers, Week 1).

Matchup/League Facts

  • Buccaneers – two different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 3.
  • Buccaneers – two different players have recorded 60+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 3.
  • Jets – one different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 3.
  • Jets – one different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 3.

Buccaneers vs Jets Prediction

The Jets haven’t been able to finish drives offensively, they’ve been limited in the passing game, and it looks like their defense has taken a step back. The Jets are not only losing games left and right, but they’re 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog. The Bucs have had a short week to prepare for this game, but they’ve put together two wins on the road and come home feeling good.

The Buccaneers are top-10 in rushing offense and rushing defense, and it’s only a matter of time before the air attack gets going. The Buccaneers are a good football team that will be worth keeping an eye on this season. We’re laying just under a full touchdown, and I’m going to lay it. The Jets haven’t shown much through 2 home games, and I doubt things change on the road. Give me the Bucs by a touchdown or two.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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