Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-1) vs. Texas A&M Aggies (4-0)
October 4, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Texas A&M Aggies -14 / Mississippi State Bulldogs +14; Over/Under: 55.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Texas A&M Aggies meet in week 6 college football action from Kyle Field on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas A&M Aggies prediction.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Recap
The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to rebound from their 41-34 los at the hands of Tennessee last time out to fall to 4-1 this season. After this game, Mississippi State will have a bye before going on the road for a game against Florida.
Bulldogs Looking To Bounce Back From First L
Blake Shapen has thrown for 1,064 yards, 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 65.9% passing while Fluff Bothwell leads the Bulldogs in rushing with 405 yards on the ground and 6 touchdowns and Davon Booth has 207 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns as well this season. Brenen Thompson has 20 receptions for 324 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns while Anthony Evans III has a team-high 26 catches for 323 yards and 2 touchdowns this season. Two more Bulldogs have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Isaac Smith has a team-high 28 total tackles while Will Whitson and DJ Reed each have a team-high 2 sacks. As a unit, Mississippi State has combined for 7 sacks and 7 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win
- Mississippi State has won four of its last five games.
- Texas A&M has lost three of its last four games against conference opponents.
- Texas A&M has failed to cover the spread in each of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Mississippi State has covered the spread in each of its last seven games against AP-ranked teams.
Texas A&M Aggies Recap
The Texas A&M Aggies come into this game looking to add on to their 16-10 win over Auburn last time out to sit at 4-0 this season. After this game, Texas A&M will take on the Florida Gators at home.
Aggies Looking To Remain Unbeaten
Marcel Reed has thrown for 1,076 yards, 9 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 60.3% passing while also rushing for 119 yards and a touchdown. Le’Veon Moss has rushed for a team-high 307 yards and 5 touchdowns while Mario Craver leads A&M’s receiving group with 24 receptions for 477 yards and 4 touchdowns and KC Concepcion has 20 catches for 340 yards and 3 scores. On defense, Taurean York has a team-high 24 total tackles while Cashius Howell has a team-high 4 sacks. As a unit, Texas A&M has combined for 14 sacks and an interception so far this season.
Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win
- Mississippi State has lost each of its last 13 games against conference opponents.
- Texas A&M has won each of its last 13 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Kyle Field.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of Mississippi State’s last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Eleven of Texas A&M’s last 12 home games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of Mississippi State’s last eight October games against top-10 AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas A&M Aggies Prediction
I’m on Mississippi State and the points here. Texas A&M is a tough place to go on the road and compete let alone try to win, but the Bulldogs have been really solid so far this season and has been a massively improved team from last season with a healthy Blake Shapen. I just don’t trust this A&M offense to pull away and win by margin and I think the Bulldogs put out another solid showing with the points here. Give me Mississippi State.
