Red Wings vs Maple Leafs Prediction 10/11/25 NHL Picks Today

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Detroit Red Wings meet Saturday in NHL action at Little Caesars Arena. Here’s a Red Wings vs Maple Leafs Prediction. This article will include a Red Wings vs Maple Leafs Pick.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Habs, and they play the Red Wings and Predators next. The Maple Leafs have won 10 of their last 11 regular season games. 

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 5 goals per game and are scoring 0 percent of their power-play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 3 goals, John Tavares has 2 assists, and Morgan Rielly has 5 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2 goals per game and are killing 100 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 2 goals on 31 shots faced.

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings lost to the Canadiens, and they play the Maple Leafs and Panthers next. The Red Wings have split their last 10 regular season games.

The Detroit Red Wings are averaging 1 goal per game and are scoring 25 percent of their power play opportunities. Dylan Larkin leads Detroit with 1 goal, Patrick Kane has 1 assist and Moritz Seider has 5 shots on goal. Defensively, the Detroit Red Wings are allowing 5 goals per game and are killing 66.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Cam Talbot has given up 0 goals on 4 shots faced, while John Gibson has allowed 5 goals on 13 shots.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last five road openers as favorites.
• The Red Wings have won three of their last four games as home underdogs.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Red Wings’ last seven games at Little Caesars Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites.
• The Maple Leafs have lost the third period in each of their last five games at Little Caesars Arena.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last eight games as favorites following a win.
• The Red Wings have lost four of their last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine road games.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games following a home loss.
• The road team has won the second period in each of the Red Wings’ last five games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the Red Wings’ last six games as underdogs following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 16 of the Red Wings’ last 17 games as underdogs.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games at Little Caesars Arena.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Patrick Kane has recorded at least one point in each of the Red Wings’ last nine home games.
• Dylan Larkin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Red Wings’ last six games against the Maple Leafs at Little Caesars Arena.
• Patrick Kane has scored a goal in five of his last six appearances with the Red Wings as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Oliver Ekman-Larsson has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances with the Maple Leafs as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Scott Laughton has scored at least one goal in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against the Red Wings.
• Matthew Knies has recorded at least one point in each of his last six appearances with the Maple Leafs as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Detroit Red Wings rank T27th in the league for goals against per game this season (5.00).
• The Detroit Red Wings rank T27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (66.67%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (100.00%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T2nd in the league for goals per game this season (5.00).

Red Wings vs Maple Leafs Prediction

The Maple Leafs and Red Wings had very different outcomes in their season opener against the same opponent, and that’s telling when you consider we’re looking for any edge we can find this early in the season. If the Maple Leafs have already found their stride offensively, it’s going to be tough for the Red Wings to keep up. The Maple Leafs have won 3 of the last 4 games against the Red Wings, and they’ve scored 3 or more goals in 5 of the last 7 meetings against them overall. I’m going to side with the Maple Leafs.​