Hawks vs Thunder Prediction 10/25/25 NBA Picks Today

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Atlanta Hawks meet Saturday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs Thunder Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Rockets and Pacers, and then play the Mavericks next. The Thunder look for back-to-back 3-0 starts to the NBA season.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 133 points on 44.7 percent shooting and allowing 129.5 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 45 points and 5 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 21.5 points and 9.5 rebounds. Ajay Mitchell is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Wiggins is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 6.4 percent from beyond the arc and 85.5 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 29.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49 rebounds per game.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks lost to the Raptors, beat the Magic, and they play the Bulls next. The Hawks have won 5 of their last 7 games.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 114.5 points on 45.1 percent shooting and allowing 122.5 points on 52.6 percent shooting. Trae Young is averaging 23.5 points and 1 rebound, while Kristaps Porzingis is averaging 20 points and 7 rebounds. Onyeka Okongwu is the third double-digit scorer, and Jalen Johnson is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 28.1 percent from beyond the arc and 81.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 26.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

• The Thunder have lost five of their last six games as road favorites following a win.
• The Hawks have won three of their last four games as home underdogs following a win.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight road games following a win.
• The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 18 games against Southeast Division opponents.
• The Hawks have lost seven of their last eight games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games following a road win.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Thunder’s last eight games as favorites against the Hawks have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Hawks’ last seven home games following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

• Trae Young is one of only 11 qualified players in the league to be leading their team in points (23.5) and assists (5.5) per game this season.
• Dyson Daniels ranks T12th amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.0) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Luguentz Dort ranks T1st amongst qualified players for FT% (100.0%) this season.
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 35+ points in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Hawks rank T1st in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (100.0%).
• The Hawks rank 2nd in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (20.5).
• The Thunder rank T1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (13.0).
• The Thunder rank 30th in the league for three-point percentage this season (26.4%).

Hawks vs Thunder Injury Report

Zaccharie Risacher is questionable for the Hawks with an ankle injury. Kristaps Porzingis is questionable with an illness.

The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber and Kenrich Williams due to knee injuries. Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams and Isaiah Joe are also out. Chet Holmgren and Cason Wallace are questionable.

Hawks vs Thunder Prediction

The Hawks are on the end of a back-to-back, and they’re not a team I’m running to the window to back. However, the Thunder have played two straight double-overtime games, and their injury report is ridiculous. There are a few rotation players already out, and they could also be without Holmgren and Wallace. Even for a deep team that just won the title, this is a lot of basketball out of the gate and a lot to ask of an undermanned team. Even a squad like the Hawks should be able to take advantage of tired legs. I’ll grab the points with the Hawks.