New Orleans Pelicans (1-6) vs. Dallas Mavericks (2-5)
November 5, 2025 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks -6.5; Over/Under: 226.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New Orleans Pelicans pay a visit to the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center on Wednesday night. Here’s a Mavericks vs Pelicans Prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs Pelicans Pick.
New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview
The New Orleans Pelicans kicked off their season with six defeats in a row but they will be feeling much better after snapping out of it with a 116-112 home win over the Hornets last night. Trey Murphy III led the team with 21 points, Jose Alverado added 18 points with six assists off the bench while Saddiq Bey chipped in with 17 points.
As a team, the Pelicans shot 47 percent from the field and 17 of 38 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in trouble when they trailed by seven points late in the fourth quarter before they closed the final 2:50 on a 11-0 run to earn their first win of the season. It was a real balanced scoring effort as a total of eight players finished in double figures in scoring.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have yet to find their flow this season as they’ve lost five of their first seven games. They will be eager to snap a two-game skid after falling short to the Rockets in a 110-102 road defeat on Monday. PJ Washington led the team with 29 points, 12 rebounds and three assists, Max Christie added 17 points with six assists while Daniel Gafford chipped in with 14 points, four rebounds and three blocks.
As a team, the Mavericks shot 44 percent from the field and nine of 36 from the 3-point line as they showed plenty of fight to hang in a close contest, until the Rockets closed the final 2:53 on a 9-1 run to slip away in a disappointing finish. Klay Thompson continued his shooting struggles and had another quiet game of just five points on two of nine shooting.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Pelicans have lost each of their last 11 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The favorites have won each of the Pelicans’ last 19 games.
- The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last five home games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last six games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Pelicans have won nine of their last 12 road games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as home favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Mavericks’ last five games at American Airlines Center.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Mavericks’ last 10 Wednesday games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Thirteen of the Pelicans’ last 15 games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
Mavericks vs Pelicans Prediction
The Pelicans are still missing Zion Williamson, Dejounte Murray and Yves Missi, while the Mavericks have again ruled out Dante Exum, Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively and Kyrie Irving. The Pelicans were able to get a much needed win last night behind a big effort from their bench, especially Alverado who made a clutch 3-pointer late.
They might like their chances against a depleted Mavericks team going through their own struggles. The Mavericks have opened as favorites, but they haven’t been playing well enough to be favorites against anyone, so I am leaning towards the Pelicans to pull off another upset in this spot.
