Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction 9/30/26 MLB Playoffs Picks Today

The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees meet Wednesday in MLB playoff action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Yankees vs. Red Sox Pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox need a win to save their season and force a game 3 on Thursday. The Red Sox have lost 6 of their last 9 games. The Boston Red Sox are batting .103 in these playoffs, have a .133 OBP, and have a .138 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 10.13 ERA and a 2.13 WHIP. Wilyer Abreu leads the Boston Red Sox with 1 hit and 0 RBI, while Adley Rutschman and Trevor Story have combined for 2 hits and 0 RBI.

Sonny Gray gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 18-5 with a 2.72 ERA and 149 strikeouts this season. Gray is 3-3 with a 3.67 ERA and 60 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees. Gray is 1-3 with a 3.26 ERA and 30 strikeouts in his postseason career.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees look to make the ALDS for a third straight season. The Yankees have won 13 of their last 19 games. The New York Yankees are batting .375 in these playoffs, with a .447 OBP and a .594 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 0.00 ERA and a 0.44 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 4 hits and 6 RBI, while George Lombard and Austin Wells have combined for 5 hits and 2 RBI.

Max Fried gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 5-5 with a 2.80 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season. Fried is 4-1 with a 1.93 ERA and 53 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox. Fried is 2-6 with a 5.31 ERA and 73 strikeouts in his postseason career.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last 12 Wednesday games against the Red Sox.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last seven Wednesday games at Yankee Stadium.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games following a loss.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against AL opponents.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six playoff games.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won eight of their last 10 playoff games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Yankees have lost three of their last four games as favorites against the Red Sox following a win.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 playoff games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Wednesday playoff games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last 11 night games against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games against AL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Yankees’ last nine games against AL East opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last five night games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• George Lombard Jr. has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
• Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against the Red Sox.
• George Lombard Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
• Ben Rice ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.534) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit at least one home run in four of his last eight appearances with the Red Sox as road underdogs.
• Sonny Gray has recorded a win in each of his five previous appearances with the Red Sox as road underdogs.
• Sonny Gray has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against the Yankees.
• Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances.
• Sonny Gray ranks T1st in the league for Wins (18) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.24).
• The Yankees rank 29th in the league for hits this season (1250).
• The Red Sox rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (153).
• The Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (285).

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction

Fried hasn’t had much postseason success, and Gray is in fantastic form, so you can talk yourself into the Red Sox and the plus money. The problem is the Yankees looked too comfortable in game 1 last night, and they’ve now won 4 of the last 5 games against the Red Sox. In the last three games alone, the Yankees have outscored the Red Sox 34-3. The Red Sox have scored two or fewer runs in four of the last five games against the Yankees. The Bronx is rocking, and the Yankees’ offense is rolling. Give me the Yankees to advance to the next round.