Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 12/27/25 NHL Picks Today

The Ottawa Senators and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Saturday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.

Ottawa Senators Recap

The Ottawa Senators come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-2 OT loss to Buffalo last time out to sit at 18-13-5 this season. After this game, Ottawa will head home for a game against the Columbus Blue Jackets.

Senators Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 39 points coming on a team-high 18 goals and 21 assists while Drake Batherson has 36 points with 14 goals and 22 assists. Shane Pinto has 18 points with 12 goals and 6 assists while Dylan Cozens has 28 points with 11 goals and 17 assists. Claude Giroux has 25 points with 7 goals and 18 assists and Jake Sanderson has 26 points with 7 goals and 19 assists. Linus Ullmark has gone 14-8-5 with a 2.86 GAA and an .884 save percentage in goal for Ottawa while Leevi Merilainen has gone 4-5 with a 3.40 GAA and an .872 save percentage as well this season. 

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won each of their last four road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last four home games following a win.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six night games.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine road games against the Maple Leafs.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Tim Stutzle has scored at least one goal in five of the Senators’ last six games as favorites.
• David Perron has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Brady Tkachuk has recorded at least two shots in each of his last 18 appearances – longest active streak in the league.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to add on to their 6-3 win over Pittsburgh last time out to sit at 16-15-5 this season. After this game, Toronto will take on the Detroit Red Wings on the road.

Maple Leafs Snap Three-Game Skid

William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 40 points on 13 goals and a team-high 27 assists while John Tavares has 32 points with a team-high 14 goals and 18 assists and Matthew Knies has 30 points with 7 goals and 23 assists. Auston Matthews has 23 points with 14 goals and 9 assists and Morgan Rielly has 24 points with 19 assists. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 23 points with 17 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 6-5-1 with a 3.51 GAA and an .884 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Joseph Woll is 6-4-1 with a 2.51 GAA and a .923 save percentage. Dennis Hildeby is also 2-5-3 with a 2.96 GAA and a .911 save percentage this season.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won four of their last five games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Senators have lost eight of their last 11 games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 12 of the last 13 games between the Senators and Maple Leafs.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games as road favorites after coming off overtime.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored a goal in three of the Maple Leafs’ last four night games at Scotiabank Arena.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games as underdogs against the Senators.
• Jake McCabe has recorded 10 career assists against the Senators – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Senators’ last six Saturday games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Four of the last five games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

I’m on Toronto here. I just think that Toronto is in must win mode coming out of the Christmas break, and Ottawa’s been better at home this season. Toronto hasn’t been anything special this season, but I look for them to defend hoe ice in a rivalry matchup here. Give me Toronto in this one.